LOST Tip LOST Omonia 2-2 Ol. Nicosia
O

Omonia

Home
W W W W D
6W 2D 2L → Steady
VS
2-2
5:00 pm
GSP Stadium (Nicosia)
O
Ol. Nicosia
Away
L D D D D
3W 5D 2L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 19th October 2026
1
Backing Omonia to win
Implied Prob 82.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -25.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Head to Head
Record
6
Omonia
1
Draws
3
Ol. Nicosia
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
10%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Omonia won 6 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Omonia
Metric
Ol. Nicosia
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.8
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.6
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-2-2
W — D — L
3-5-2
Win Rate
60%
30%
3
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
O0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 6.3%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
O1
1-0 9.2%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 6.6%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
O2
2-0 8.0%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
O3
3-0 4.7%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
O4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 1-0(9.2%) 2-0(8.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip O=Home goals ↓   O=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Omonia
Overall
6.6 ▼
Scoring
6.3 ▼
Defence
8.0 ▼
Ol. Nicosia
Overall
4.5 ▲
Scoring
6.0 ▲
Defence
4.7 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.03.26CL
Omonia5
Ol. Nicosia0
06.12.25CL
Ol. Nicosia0
Omonia3
18.07.25CF
Omonia0
Ol. Nicosia4
20.02.23CL
Ol. Nicosia0
Omonia1
11.11.22CL
Omonia4
Ol. Nicosia0
20.05.22CL
Omonia1
Ol. Nicosia1
08.04.22CL
Ol. Nicosia3
Omonia0
10.01.22CL
Omonia1
Ol. Nicosia0
03.10.21CL
Ol. Nicosia1
Omonia0
11.04.21CL
Omonia2
Ol. Nicosia0
Recent Form
Omonia
15.10.26EL
Celje0
Omonia3
W
09.10.26CL
Karmiotissa0
Omonia3
W
20.09.26CL
Omonia4
Krasava1
W
16.09.26EL
Omonia1
Celta Vigo0
W
12.09.26CL
Omonia0
Apollon0
D
07.09.26CL
Aris1
Omonia4
W
03.09.26SC
Omonia0
Pafos1
L
31.08.26CL
Omonia0
Omonia Aradippou0
D
27.08.26EL
Omonia4
St. Truiden2
W
20.08.26EL
St. Truiden1
Omonia0
L
Ol. Nicosia
11.10.26CL
Ol. Nicosia1
Aris2
L
20.09.26CL
Omonia Aradippou1
Ol. Nicosia1
D
13.09.26CL
Ol. Nicosia3
Omonia 29th May3
D
07.09.26CL
Pafos0
Ol. Nicosia0
D
28.08.26CL
Ol. Nicosia3
Nea Salamis3
D
22.08.26CF
Ol. Nicosia3
APOEL3
D
08.08.26CF
Ol. Nicosia1
Omonia 29th May2
L
15.05.26CL
Ol. Nicosia1
Anorthosis0
W
09.05.26CL
AEL Limassol1
Ol. Nicosia3
W
01.05.26CL
Ol. Nicosia2
Omonia Aradippou1
W
Omonia (Home)
20.09.26CL
Omonia4
Krasava1
W
16.09.26EL
Omonia1
Celta Vigo0
W
12.09.26CL
Omonia0
Apollon0
D
03.09.26SC
Omonia0
Pafos1
L
31.08.26CL
Omonia0
Omonia Aradippou0
D
27.08.26EL
Omonia4
St. Truiden2
W
13.08.26EL
Omonia1
Lincoln Red Imps0
W
22.07.26CL
Omonia1
Kairat Almaty0
W
16.07.26CF
Omonia2
Panetolikos1
W
05.07.26CF
Omonia2
H. Beer Sheva2
D
Ol. Nicosia (Away)
20.09.26CL
Omonia Aradippou1
Ol. Nicosia1
D
07.09.26CL
Pafos0
Ol. Nicosia0
D
09.05.26CL
AEL Limassol1
Ol. Nicosia3
W
26.04.26CL
Achnas2
Ol. Nicosia1
L
04.04.26CL
Paralimni1
Ol. Nicosia3
W
21.03.26CL
Krasava1
Ol. Nicosia0
L
15.03.26CL
Omonia5
Ol. Nicosia0
L
01.03.26CL
AEK Larnaca1
Ol. Nicosia1
D
08.02.26CL
Apollon3
Ol. Nicosia1
L
26.01.26CL
Paralimni0
Ol. Nicosia2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Cyprus League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into GSP Stadium (Nicosia). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 4 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.21, which our model rates near 52%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Omonia vs Ol. Nicosia?
Our selection is 1 — Omonia to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Omonia's current form?
Omonia have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ol. Nicosia been performing recently?
Ol. Nicosia have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Omonia lead with 6 wins versus Ol. Nicosia's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 10%.
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