LOST Tip LOST Arsenal W 0-2 Brighton W
A

Arsenal W

Home
L W W W W
9W 0D 1L → Steady
VS
0-2
B
Brighton W
Away
W D L W L
4W 1D 5L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 5th April 2026
1
Backing Arsenal W to win
Arsenal W 60%
Draw 20%
Brighton W 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 84.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -6.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Arsenal W to win
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Arsenal W vs Brighton W Competition: England Women FA Cup Date: Sunday, 5th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Arsenal W to win) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 78% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%)
Head to Head
Record
10
Arsenal W
0
Draws
0
Brighton W
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
10%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Arsenal W won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Arsenal W
Metric
Brighton W
2.9
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.3
50%
Clean Sheets
40%
9-0-1
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
90%
40%
3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
A0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 4.2%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 11.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 7.7%
3-1 6.9%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(11.0%) 1-0(10.5%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Arsenal W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Brighton W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Arsenal W
Overall
9.0
Scoring
9.7
Defence
7.7
Brighton W
Overall
4.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 44%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.10.25
WSL: Arsenal1
Brighton0
05.05.25
WSL: Brighton0
Arsenal4
22.01.25
Cup: Brighton0
Arsenal4
08.11.24
WSL: Arsenal5
Brighton0
18.05.24
WSL: Arsenal5
Brighton0
19.11.23
WSL: Brighton0
Arsenal3
10.05.23
WSL: Brighton0
Arsenal4
16.09.22
WSL: Arsenal4
Brighton0
13.03.22
WSL: Brighton0
Arsenal3
27.01.22
WSL: Arsenal2
Brighton1
Recent Form
Arsenal W
01.04.26
UWCL: Chelsea W1
Arsenal W - L (Adv. 3-2 on Agg)0
28.03.26
WSL: Arsenal W5
Tottenham W2
W
24.03.26
UWCL: Arsenal W3
Chelsea W1
W
21.03.26
WSL: Arsenal W5
West Ham W0
W
15.03.26
WSL: London City Lionesses0
Arsenal W2
W
22.02.26
FA Cup: Arsenal W3
Bristol City W0
W
18.02.26
UWCL: Arsenal W3
OH Leuven1
W
11.02.26
UWCL: OH Leuven0
Arsenal W4
W
08.02.26
WSL: Arsenal W1
Manchester City W0
W
01.02.26
WCC: Arsenal W3
Corinthians W2
W
Brighton W
29.03.26
WSL: Leicester City W0
Brighton W1
W
22.03.26
WSL: Brighton W0
Liverpool W0
D
18.03.26
WSL: Chelsea W2
Brighton W1
L
22.02.26
FA Cup: West Ham W1
Brighton W2
W
08.02.26
WSL: West Ham W3
Brighton W2
L
01.02.26
WSL: Brighton W1
London City Lionesses2
L
23.01.26
WSL: Everton W0
Brighton W1
W
18.01.26
FA Cup: Brighton W2
Nottingham Forest W0
W
11.01.26
WSL: Aston Villa W2
Brighton W1
L
14.12.25
WSL: Brighton W0
Chelsea W3
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming England Women FA Cup fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.18 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Arsenal W vs Brighton W?
Our selection is 1 — Arsenal W to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 78%.
What is Arsenal W's current form?
Arsenal W have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Brighton W been performing recently?
Brighton W have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Arsenal W lead with 10 wins versus Brighton W's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 10%.
⚠️
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