WON Tip WON Urartu 4-2 Gandzasar
U

Urartu

Home
L W W D W
4W 2D 4L → Steady
VS
4-2
G
Gandzasar
Away
W W D D D
3W 5D 2L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 5th April 2026
1X
Backing Urartu to win or draw
Implied Prob 90.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +9.9% Value detected
Kelly % 100% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
5
Urartu
1
Draws
0
Gandzasar
6
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Urartu
Metric
Gandzasar
2
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.7
Goals Against / Game
0.7
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
4-2-4
W — D — L
3-5-2
Win Rate
40%
30%
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
U0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 9.2%
0-2 6.0%
0-3 2.6%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
U1
1-0 9.5%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 3.5%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
U2
2-0 6.4%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.4%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
U3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 3.8%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
U4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
U5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(12.4%) 1-0(9.5%) 2-1(8.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip U=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Urartu
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
4.3
Gandzasar
Overall
4.5
Scoring
3.0
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
06.03.26
Premier League: FC Gandzasar2
FC Urartu2
09.08.25
Premier League: FC Urartu1
FC Gandzasar0
15.03.25
Premier League: FC Urartu2
FC Gandzasar1
28.11.24
Premier League: FC Gandzasar0
FC Urartu4
31.08.24
Premier League: FC Urartu2
FC Gandzasar0
06.04.23
Armenian Cup: FC Urartu4
FC Gandzasar0
Recent Form
Urartu
01.04.26
Cup: FC Urartu2
FC Ararat Yerevan3
L
20.03.26
PL: BKMA Yerevan0
FC Urartu1
W
15.03.26
PL: FC Urartu4
BKMA Yerevan1
W
06.03.26
PL: Gandzasar FC2
FC Urartu2
D
03.03.26
Cup: FC Ararat Yerevan0
FC Urartu3
W
12.02.26
Friendly: Yelimay Semey3
FC Urartu1
L
08.02.26
Friendly: Lokomotiv Moscow3
FC Urartu2
L
30.01.26
Friendly: Uzbekistan4
FC Urartu2
L
29.11.25
PL: FC Alashkert0
FC Urartu2
W
21.11.25
PL: FC Urartu1
FC Pyunik1
D
Gandzasar
21.03.26
PL: Gandzasar FC2
Ararat Yerevan1
W
14.03.26
PL: Ararat Yerevan0
Gandzasar FC2
W
06.03.26
PL: Gandzasar FC2
FC Urartu2
D
25.02.26
Friendly: Sardarapat0
Gandzasar FC0
D
14.02.26
Friendly: FC Van0
Gandzasar FC0
D
07.02.26
Friendly: Gandzasar FC1
Ararat Yerevan1
D
28.11.25
PL: Gandzasar FC0
BKMA Yerevan0
D
22.11.25
PL: Shirak Gyumri1
Gandzasar FC0
L
09.11.25
PL: FC Van2
Gandzasar FC1
L
03.11.25
PL: Gandzasar FC1
Alashkert0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 5th April 2026, Urartu host Gandzasar in Armenia Premier League. We recommend Urartu to win or draw as the standout selection.

Urartu arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Gandzasar are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 5D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Urartu, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Gandzasar's 0, with 1 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: urartu to win or draw at odds of 1.11 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Armenia Premier League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1X, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.11 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Urartu vs Gandzasar?
Our selection is 1X — Urartu to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.11. Tip confidence rating: 100%.
What is Urartu's current form?
Urartu have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gandzasar been performing recently?
Gandzasar have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Urartu lead with 5 wins versus Gandzasar's 0, with 1 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
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