Moderate Signal 47% Confidence
A

AS Roma

Home
L W L L D
3W 3D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
P
Pisa
Away
L L W L L
1W 1D 8L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 10th April 2026
1
Backing AS Roma to win
AS Roma 50%
Draw 30%
Pisa 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 70.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -23.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — AS Roma to win
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
AS Roma vs Pisa Competition: Serie A Date: Friday, 10th April 2026 Pick: 1 (AS Roma to win) Odds: 1.42 Confidence: 47% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%)
Head to Head
Record
6
AS Roma
2
Draws
2
Pisa
10
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip AS Roma won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
AS Roma
Metric
Pisa
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.9
Goals Against / Game
2.4
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
3-3-4
W — D — L
1-1-8
Win Rate
30%
10%
3.5
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
A0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 4.1%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 6.8%
1-1 8.9%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 2.5%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
A2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 5.3%
3-1 6.8%
3-2 4.4%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 2.8%
4-1 3.7%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.6%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 2-0(7.3%) 3-1(6.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
AS Roma Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Pisa Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
AS Roma
Overall
3.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
3.7
Pisa
Overall
1.3
Scoring
2.3
Defence
2.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 33%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 21%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.08.25
Serie A: Pisa SC0
AS Roma1
26.05.91
Serie A: Pisa SC0
AS Roma1
20.01.91
Serie A: AS Roma0
Pisa SC2
19.03.89
Serie A: Pisa SC1
AS Roma0
06.11.88
Serie A: AS Roma2
Pisa SC1
14.02.88
Serie A: Pisa SC1
AS Roma1
04.10.87
Serie A: AS Roma1
Pisa SC0
13.04.86
Serie A: Pisa SC2
AS Roma4
08.12.85
Serie A: AS Roma1
Pisa SC0
15.01.84
Serie A: Pisa SC1
AS Roma1
Recent Form
AS Roma
05.04.26
Serie A: Inter Milan5
AS Roma2
L
22.03.26
Serie A: AS Roma1
Lecce0
W
19.03.26
Europa League: AS Roma3
Bologna4
L
15.03.26
Serie A: Como2
AS Roma1
L
12.03.26
Europa League: Bologna1
AS Roma1
D
08.03.26
Serie A: Genoa2
AS Roma1
L
01.03.26
Serie A: AS Roma3
Juventus3
D
22.02.26
Serie A: AS Roma3
Cremonese0
W
15.02.26
Serie A: Napoli2
AS Roma2
D
09.02.26
Serie A: AS Roma2
Cagliari0
W
Pisa
05.04.26
Serie A: Pisa SC0
Torino1
L
22.03.26
Serie A: Como5
Pisa SC0
L
15.03.26
Serie A: Pisa SC3
Cagliari1
W
07.03.26
Serie A: Juventus4
Pisa SC0
L
02.03.26
Serie A: Pisa SC0
Bologna1
L
23.02.26
Serie A: Fiorentina1
Pisa SC0
L
13.02.26
Serie A: Pisa SC1
AC Milan2
L
06.02.26
Serie A: Hellas Verona0
Pisa SC0
D
31.01.26
Serie A: Pisa SC1
Sassuolo3
L
23.01.26
Serie A: Inter Milan6
Pisa SC2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 10th April 2026, AS Roma host Pisa in Serie A. We recommend AS Roma to win as the standout selection.

AS Roma arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Pisa are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 1D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour AS Roma, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Pisa's 2, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: as roma to win at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Serie A fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.42 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for AS Roma vs Pisa?
Our selection is 1 — AS Roma to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is AS Roma's current form?
AS Roma have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pisa been performing recently?
Pisa have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
AS Roma lead with 6 wins versus Pisa's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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