Weak Signal 41% Confidence
T

Treaty United

Home
L D L W D
1W 3D 6L → Steady
VS
C
Cork City
Away
W D W W W
2W 3D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 10th April 2026
2
Backing Cork City to win
Treaty United 20%
Draw 30%
Cork City 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 76.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -35.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Cork City to win
1.31
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Treaty United vs Cork City Competition: Ireland Division 1 Date: Friday, 10th April 2026 Pick: 2 (Cork City to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 41% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (85%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Treaty United
4
Draws
5
Cork City
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Neutral Cork City won 5 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Treaty United
Metric
Cork City
0.8
Goals For / Game
0.1
1.7
Goals Against / Game
0
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
1-3-6
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
10%
20%
1.3
Avg Goals
30%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
15%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
T0
0-0 27.3%
0-1 24.5%
0-2 11.0%
0-3 3.3%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.1%
T1
1-0 10.9%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 4.4%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
T2
2-0 2.2%
2-1 2.0%
2-2 0.9%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
T3
3-0 0.3%
3-1 0.3%
3-2 0.1%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
T4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.0%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(24.5%) 0-2(11.0%) 1-2(4.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Treaty United Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Cork City Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Treaty United
Overall
1.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
4.3
Cork City
Overall
2.9
Scoring
0.3
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 43%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 4%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 38%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 25%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
13.02.26
First Division: Cork City1
Treaty United0
18.01.25
Friendly: Cork City2
Treaty United1
04.10.24
First Division: Cork City1
Treaty United1
02.08.24
First Division: Treaty United1
Cork City1
24.05.24
First Division: Cork City1
Treaty United1
22.03.24
First Division: Treaty United0
Cork City0
22.07.23
FAI Cup: Treaty United0
Cork City2
21.01.23
Friendly: Cork City3
Treaty United0
12.08.22
First Division: Cork City0
Treaty United2
27.06.22
First Division: Treaty United0
Cork City5
Recent Form
Treaty United
06.04.26
First Division: Cobh Ramblers4
Treaty United0
L
03.04.26
First Division: Treaty United0
Longford Town0
D
27.03.26
First Division: Wexford FC3
Treaty United2
L
20.03.26
First Division: Treaty United2
Athlone Town0
W
13.03.26
First Division: Finn Harps2
Treaty United2
D
06.03.26
First Division: Treaty United2
Kerry FC2
D
27.02.26
First Division: UCD Dublin1
Treaty United0
L
20.02.26
First Division: Treaty United0
Bray Wanderers1
L
13.02.26
First Division: Cork City1
Treaty United0
L
24.01.26
Friendly: Shamrock Rovers3
Treaty United0
L
Cork City
06.04.26
First Division: Cobh Ramblers4
Treaty United0
L
03.04.26
First Division: Treaty United0
Longford Town0
D
27.03.26
First Division: Wexford FC3
Treaty United2
L
20.03.26
First Division: Treaty United2
Athlone Town0
W
13.03.26
First Division: Finn Harps2
Treaty United2
D
06.03.26
First Division: Treaty United2
Kerry FC2
D
27.02.26
First Division: UCD Dublin1
Treaty United0
L
20.02.26
First Division: Treaty United0
Bray Wanderers1
L
13.02.26
First Division: Cork City1
Treaty United0
L
24.01.26
Friendly: Shamrock Rovers3
Treaty United0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 10th April 2026, Treaty United host Cork City in Ireland Division 1. We recommend Cork City to win as the standout selection.

Treaty United arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Cork City are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Treaty United, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Cork City's 5, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cork city to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Ireland Division 1 fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 2, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.31 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Treaty United vs Cork City?
Our selection is 2 — Cork City to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 41%.
What is Treaty United's current form?
Treaty United have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cork City been performing recently?
Cork City have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Treaty United lead with 1 wins versus Cork City's 5, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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