WON Tip WON Atletico Madrid 5-2 Tottenham Hotspur

Atletico Madrid

Home

W L W W W

4W 0D 1L ▲ Improving

5-2

Tottenham Hotspur

Away

0W 0D 5L → Steady

Atletico Madrid 50%

Draw 30%

Tottenham Hotspur 20%

H Fair Odds 2

D Fair Odds 3.33

A Fair Odds 5

Implied Prob 63.3% Bookie's implied odds

Our Edge +4.7% Value detected

Kelly % 12.8% Suggested bankroll %

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Supporting Bets

Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Atletico Madrid to win

1.58

Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%

📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder

Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Hotspur Competition: UEFA Champions League Date: Tuesday, 10th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Atletico Madrid to win) Odds: 1.58 Confidence: 68% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)

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Head to Head

Record

Atletico Madrid

Draws

Tottenham Hotspur

Meetings

Avg Goals

BTTS

Over 2.5

Supports Tip Atletico Madrid won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Atletico Madrid

Metric

Tottenham Hotspur

2.4

Goals For / Game

0.8

1.6

Goals Against / Game

2.6

20%

Clean Sheets

4-0-1

W — D — L

0-0-5

Win Rate

80%

3.7

Avg Goals

90%

Over 1.5

80%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 2.5%

0-1 3.0%

0-2 1.8%

0-3 0.7%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 6.2%

1-1 7.4%

1-2 4.5%

1-3 1.8%

1-4 0.5%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 7.7%

2-1 9.3%

2-2 5.6%

2-3 2.2%

2-4 0.7%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 6.4%

3-1 7.7%

3-2 4.6%

3-3 1.9%

3-4 0.6%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 4.0%

4-1 4.8%

4-2 2.9%

4-3 1.2%

4-4 0.4%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 2.0%

5-1 2.4%

5-2 1.5%

5-3 0.6%

5-4 0.2%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 2-1(9.3%) 2-0(7.7%) 3-1(7.7%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓ T=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Atletico Madrid Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Tottenham Hotspur Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Atletico Madrid

Overall

8.0 —

Scoring

8.0 —

Defence

4.7 —

Tottenham Hotspur

Overall

0.0 —

Scoring

2.7 —

Defence

1.3 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 70%

Home Win & BTTS No 30%

Draw & BTTS Yes 0%

Draw & BTTS No 0%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Away Win & BTTS No 0%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 80%

Home Win & Under 2.5 20%

Draw & Over 2.5 0%

Draw & Under 2.5 0%

Away Win & Over 2.5 0%

Away Win & Under 2.5 0%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ ICC (Jul 29, 2016): Tottenham0

Atl. Madrid1

Recent Form

Atletico Madrid

⚽ LL (07.03.26): Atl. Madrid3

Real Sociedad2

⚽ CDR (03.03.26): Barcelona3

Atl. Madrid0

⚽ LL (28.02.26): Oviedo0

Atl. Madrid1

⚽ CL (24.02.26): Atl. Madrid4

Club Brugge KV1

⚽ LL (21.02.26): Atl. Madrid4

Espanyol2

Tottenham Hotspur

⚽ PL (05.03.26): Tottenham1

Crystal Palace3

⚽ PL (01.03.26): Fulham2

Tottenham1

⚽ PL (22.02.26): Tottenham1

Arsenal4

⚽ PL (10.02.26): Tottenham1

Newcastle2

⚽ PL (07.02.26): Manchester Utd2

Tottenham0

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Match Analysis

Writeup

On Tuesday, 10th March 2026, Atletico Madrid host Tottenham Hotspur in UEFA Champions League. We recommend Atletico Madrid to win as the standout selection.

Atletico Madrid arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Tottenham Hotspur are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 0D 5L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Atletico Madrid, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Tottenham Hotspur's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: atletico madrid to win at odds of 1.58 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our selection is 1 — Atletico Madrid to win, priced at approximately 1.58. Tip confidence rating: 68%.

What is Atletico Madrid's current form?

Atletico Madrid have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has Tottenham Hotspur been performing recently?

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Atletico Madrid lead with 1 wins versus Tottenham Hotspur's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.

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