WON Tip WON AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Sparta Prague

AZ Alkmaar

Home

L W L W W

3W 0D 2L → Steady

2-1

Sparta Prague

Away

L L W D W

2W 1D 2L ▲ Improving

AZ Alkmaar 70%

Draw 20%

Sparta Prague 10%

H Fair Odds 1.43

D Fair Odds 5

A Fair Odds 10

Implied Prob 78.1% Bookie's implied odds

Our Edge +11.9% Value detected

Kelly % 54.3% Suggested bankroll %

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Supporting Bets

Extras

Primary Selection

1X — AZ Alkmaar to win or draw

1.28

Over 1.5 Goals80%

📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder

AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Prague Competition: UEFA Europa League Date: Thursday, 12th March 2026 Pick: 1X (AZ Alkmaar to win or draw) Odds: 1.28 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)

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Head to Head

Record

Neutral Insufficient H2H data.

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Stats Duel

Comparison

AZ Alkmaar

Metric

Sparta Prague

Goals For / Game

1.6

1.2

Goals Against / Game

1.2

20%

Clean Sheets

40%

3-0-2

W — D — L

2-1-2

Win Rate

60%

40%

Avg Goals

80%

Over 1.5

60%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 5.0%

0-1 7.0%

0-2 4.9%

0-3 2.3%

0-4 0.8%

0-5 0.2%

1-0 8.0%

1-1 11.2%

1-2 7.8%

1-3 3.6%

1-4 1.3%

1-5 0.4%

2-0 6.4%

2-1 8.9%

2-2 6.3%

2-3 2.9%

2-4 1.0%

2-5 0.3%

3-0 3.4%

3-1 4.8%

3-2 3.3%

3-3 1.6%

3-4 0.5%

3-5 0.2%

4-0 1.4%

4-1 1.9%

4-2 1.3%

4-3 0.6%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.4%

5-1 0.6%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-1(11.2%) 2-1(8.9%) 1-0(8.0%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓ S=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

AZ Alkmaar Win

70%

1.43

Draw

20%

Sparta Prague Win

Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

AZ Alkmaar

Overall

6.0 —

Scoring

6.7 —

Defence

6.0 —

Sparta Prague

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

5.3 —

Defence

6.0 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%

Home Win & BTTS No 28%

Draw & BTTS Yes 5%

Draw & BTTS No 5%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%

Away Win & BTTS No 18%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 33%

Home Win & Under 2.5 22%

Draw & Over 2.5 5%

Draw & Under 2.5 4%

Away Win & Over 2.5 22%

Away Win & Under 2.5 14%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form

AZ Alkmaar

⚽ ERE (07.03.26): PSV2

AZ Alkmaar1

⚽ KNV (04.03.26): AZ Alkmaar2

Telstar1

⚽ ERE (01.03.26): Utrecht2

AZ Alkmaar0

⚽ UECL (26.02.26): AZ Alkmaar4

FC Noah0

⚽ ERE (22.02.26): AZ Alkmaar3

Sparta Rotterdam1

Sparta Prague

⚽ 1L (08.03.26): Slavia Prague3

Sparta Prague1

⚽ CUP (03.03.26): Mlada Boleslav1

Sparta Prague (4-2)0

⚽ 1L (28.02.26): Sparta Prague5

Ostrava2

⚽ 1L (22.02.26): Viktoria Plzeň0

Sparta Prague0

⚽ 1L (15.02.26): Sparta Prague2

Hradec Kralove0

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Prague?

Our selection is 1X — AZ Alkmaar to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 90%.

What is AZ Alkmaar's current form?

AZ Alkmaar have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.

How has Sparta Prague been performing recently?

Sparta Prague have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

No recent head-to-head data available.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game.

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