WON Tip WON Bentleigh Greens 1-5 Hume City
B

Bentleigh Greens

Home
L D D L L
2W 3D 5L ▲ Improving
VS
1-5
H
Hume City
Away
D W W W W
6W 2D 2L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 5th June 2026
X2
Backing Hume City to win or draw
Implied Prob 84% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -84% Overpriced
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
X2 — Hume City to win or draw
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Bentleigh Greens vs Hume City Competition: Australia NPL Victoria Date: Friday, 5th June 2026 Pick: X2 (Hume City to win or draw) Odds: 1.19 Confidence: 0% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Bentleigh Greens
1
Draws
5
Hume City
9
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
22%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Bentleigh Greens
Metric
Hume City
1.1
Goals For / Game
2
2.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
2-3-5
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
20%
60%
3.5
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
B0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 7.3%
0-2 8.4%
0-3 6.4%
0-4 3.7%
0-5 1.7%
B1
1-0 3.7%
1-1 8.4%
1-2 9.7%
1-3 7.4%
1-4 4.3%
1-5 2.0%
B2
2-0 2.1%
2-1 4.8%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 4.3%
2-4 2.5%
2-5 1.1%
B3
3-0 0.8%
3-1 1.9%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.4%
B4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
B5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(9.7%) 0-2(8.4%) 1-1(8.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Bentleigh Greens
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
1.3
Hume City
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 40%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.02.26VIC
Hume City1
Bentleigh Greens0
22.07.23VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
Hume City2
22.04.23VIC
Hume City2
Bentleigh Greens3
24.06.22VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
Hume City0
26.03.22VIC
Hume City3
Bentleigh Greens4
25.06.21VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
Hume City3
27.03.21VIC
Hume City2
Bentleigh Greens0
14.03.20VIC
Hume City1
Bentleigh Greens0
21.06.19VIC
Hume City0
Bentleigh Greens2
Recent Form
Bentleigh Greens
30.05.26VIC
Avondale FC4
Bentleigh Greens0
L
22.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
George Cross0
D
15.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens2
Heidelberg Utd2
D
08.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
Melbourne City U217
L
01.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens2
St Albans4
L
24.04.26VIC
Oakleigh Cannons4
Bentleigh Greens0
L
17.04.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens1
Preston Lions1
D
11.04.26VIC
Dandenong City3
Bentleigh Greens0
L
27.03.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens2
Dandenong Thunder1
W
20.03.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens4
Green Gully0
W
Hume City
30.05.26VIC
Hume City1
South Melbourne1
D
23.05.26VIC
Altona Magic1
Hume City3
W
16.05.26VIC
Hume City3
Avondale FC0
W
09.05.26VIC
George Cross2
Hume City4
W
02.05.26VIC
Hume City2
Heidelberg Utd1
W
26.04.26VIC
Melbourne City U210
Hume City1
W
18.04.26VIC
Hume City0
St Albans1
L
11.04.26VIC
Oakleigh Cannons3
Hume City2
L
28.03.26VIC
Hume City3
Preston Lions2
W
20.03.26VIC
Dandenong City1
Hume City1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 5th June 2026, Bentleigh Greens host Hume City in Australia NPL Victoria. We recommend Hume City to win or draw as the standout selection.

Bentleigh Greens arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hume City are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Bentleigh Greens, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Hume City's 5, with 1 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 22% of those meetings.

Our verdict: hume city to win or draw at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Australia NPL Victoria fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is X2, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.19 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bentleigh Greens vs Hume City?
Our selection is X2 — Hume City to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.19.
What is Bentleigh Greens's current form?
Bentleigh Greens have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hume City been performing recently?
Hume City have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bentleigh Greens lead with 3 wins versus Hume City's 5, with 1 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 22%.
⚠️
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