Moderate Signal 49% Confidence
B

Beroe

Home
L W L L W
4W 2D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
—
3:30 pm
—
Stadion Beroe (Stara Zagora)
P
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Away
L L L D W
1W 1D 8L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 8th November 2026
1
Backing Beroe to win
Implied Prob 84% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -35% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
⚡
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Beroe to win
1.19
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad Competition: Bulgaria Vtora Liga Date: Sunday, 8th November 2026 KO: 3:30 pm Pick: 1 (Beroe to win) Odds: 1.19 Confidence: 49% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
⚔
Head to Head
Record
6
Beroe
4
Draws
0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
10
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Beroe won 6 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Beroe
Metric
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.6
Goals Against / Game
2.2
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
4-2-4
W — D — L
1-1-8
Win Rate
40%
10%
2.9
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
B0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 6.1%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 9.9%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 6.0%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 8.9%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(9.9%) 2-1(9.8%) 2-0(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Beroe
Overall
4.6 —
Scoring
4.7 —
Defence
4.7 —
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Overall
1.3 ▼
Scoring
2.0 ▼
Defence
2.7 ▼
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.05.241L
Beroe2
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
03.11.231L
Beroe0
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
14.07.231L
Pirin Blagoevgrad1
Beroe2
31.05.231L
Beroe1
Pirin Blagoevgrad1
30.04.231L
Beroe1
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
07.10.221L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Beroe0
19.11.211L
Beroe1
Pirin Blagoevgrad1
02.08.211L
Pirin Blagoevgrad2
Beroe3
21.10.20CUP
Pirin Blagoevgrad3
Beroe4
18.11.171L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Beroe1
Recent Form
Beroe
30.10.262L
Lok. Gorna2
Beroe0
L
23.10.262L
Beroe3
Rilski Sportist1
W
17.10.26CUP
Beroe0
Ludogorets3
L
10.10.262L
Marek3
Beroe2
L
04.10.26CUP
Minyor Pernik1
Beroe2
W
27.09.262L
Beroe1
Yantra Gabrovo0
W
20.09.262L
Nesebar4
Beroe3
L
13.09.262L
Beroe1
Svoge0
W
06.09.262L
Dobrudzha2
Beroe2
D
03.09.262L
Beroe0
Montana0
D
Pirin Blagoevgrad
30.10.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Etar2
L
23.10.262L
Lok. Gorna2
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
L
17.10.26CUP
Pirin Blagoevgrad1
Hebar4
L
10.10.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad1
Spartak Pleven1
D
04.10.26CUP
Mezdra2
Pirin Blagoevgrad3
W
26.09.262L
Rilski Sportist1
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
L
20.09.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad1
Fratria2
L
13.09.262L
Marek3
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
L
07.09.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Ludogorets II3
L
02.09.262L
Yantra Gabrovo2
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Bulgaria Vtora Liga match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Stadion Beroe (Stara Zagora). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.19, which our model rates near close to 48. The fixture starts at 3:30 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

❓
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our selection is 1 — Beroe to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is Beroe's current form?
Beroe have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pirin Blagoevgrad been performing recently?
Pirin Blagoevgrad have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Beroe lead with 6 wins versus Pirin Blagoevgrad's 0, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 24predictiontoday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.

18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.