Moderate Signal 63% Confidence
C

Celtic

Home
W L D W L
4W 1D 5L → Steady
VS
—
5:00 pm
—
Celtic Park (Glasgow)
K
Kilmarnock
Away
D L L W L
2W 4D 4L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 8th November 2026
1
Backing Celtic to win
Implied Prob 80% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -17% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Celtic to win
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Celtic vs Kilmarnock Competition: Scotland Premiership Date: Sunday, 8th November 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Celtic to win) Odds: 1.25 Confidence: 63% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
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Head to Head
Record
9
Celtic
1
Draws
0
Kilmarnock
10
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Celtic won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Celtic
Metric
Kilmarnock
1.9
Goals For / Game
1
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.6
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-1-5
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
40%
20%
3.2
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
C0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 6.0%
0-2 4.2%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
C1
1-0 7.5%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
C2
2-0 6.6%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
C3
3-0 3.8%
3-1 5.4%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
C4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.2%) 1-0(7.5%) 2-0(6.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Celtic
Overall
4.3 —
Scoring
6.3 —
Defence
4.0 —
Kilmarnock
Overall
3.2 —
Scoring
3.3 —
Defence
4.7 —
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 19%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.08.26PRE
Kilmarnock1
Celtic5
15.02.26PRE
Kilmarnock2
Celtic3
09.11.25PRE
Celtic4
Kilmarnock0
14.09.25PRE
Kilmarnock1
Celtic2
12.04.25PRE
Celtic5
Kilmarnock1
18.01.25SC
Celtic2
Kilmarnock1
10.11.24PRE
Kilmarnock0
Celtic2
04.08.24PRE
Celtic4
Kilmarnock0
15.05.24PRE
Kilmarnock0
Celtic5
17.02.24PRE
Celtic1
Kilmarnock1
Recent Form
Celtic
05.11.26EL
Celtic3
Besiktas2
W
01.11.26PRE
Falkirk2
Celtic0
L
28.10.26PRE
Celtic2
Dundee Utd2
D
25.10.26PRE
Hibernian1
Celtic2
W
22.10.26EL
Celtic1
Celta Vigo2
L
18.10.26PRE
Celtic7
Hearts1
W
15.10.26EL
Benfica4
Celtic1
L
11.10.26PRE
Motherwell0
Celtic2
W
20.09.26PRE
Celtic0
Rangers1
L
17.09.26EL
Celtic1
Ferencvaros3
L
Kilmarnock
31.10.26PRE
Kilmarnock2
St Johnstone2
D
28.10.26PRE
Dundee FC3
Kilmarnock1
L
24.10.26PRE
Falkirk3
Kilmarnock0
L
17.10.26PRE
Kilmarnock3
Motherwell2
W
10.10.26PRE
Rangers3
Kilmarnock1
L
19.09.26PRE
Kilmarnock1
Hearts1
D
15.09.26PRE
Hibernian0
Kilmarnock1
W
12.09.26LC
Kilmarnock1
Aberdeen (1-3)1
05.09.26PRE
Aberdeen0
Kilmarnock0
D
02.09.26PRE
Kilmarnock0
St. Mirren1
L
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Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Scotland Premiership match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Celtic Park (Glasgow). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.25, which our model rates near 63%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
Our selection is 1 — Celtic to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Celtic's current form?
Celtic have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kilmarnock been performing recently?
Kilmarnock have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Celtic lead with 9 wins versus Kilmarnock's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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