LOST Tip LOST Besiktas 0-0 Karagumruk
B

Besiktas

Home
W L W L W
7W 0D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
0-0
K
Karagumruk
Away
L L W L W
3W 2D 5L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 27th April 2026
1
Backing Besiktas to win
Besiktas 50%
Draw 30%
Karagumruk 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
6
Besiktas
3
Draws
1
Karagumruk
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Besiktas won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Besiktas
Metric
Karagumruk
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-0-3
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.7
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
B0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 6.4%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 11.8%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 10.3%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 6.0%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.8%) 2-0(10.3%) 2-1(9.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Besiktas Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Karagumruk Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Besiktas
Overall
7.0
Scoring
7.0
Defence
7.3
Karagumruk
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.11.25SL
Karagumruk0
Besiktas2
28.03.24CF
Besiktas1
Karagumruk1
13.01.24SL
Besiktas3
Karagumruk0
14.08.23SL
Karagumruk0
Besiktas1
31.01.23SL
Karagumruk1
Besiktas1
02.12.22CF
Besiktas1
Karagumruk1
21.08.22SL
Besiktas4
Karagumruk1
18.01.22SL
Karagumruk0
Besiktas1
28.08.21SL
Besiktas1
Karagumruk0
11.05.21SL
Besiktas1
Karagumruk2
Recent Form
Besiktas
23.04.26CUP
Besiktas3
Alanyaspor0
W
19.04.26SL
Samsunspor2
Besiktas1
L
10.04.26SL
Besiktas4
Antalyaspor2
W
05.04.26SL
Fenerbahce1
Besiktas0
L
19.03.26SL
Besiktas2
Kasimpasa1
W
15.03.26SL
Genclerbirligi0
Besiktas2
W
07.03.26SL
Besiktas0
Galatasaray1
L
04.03.26CUP
Besiktas4
Rizespor1
W
28.02.26SL
Kocaelispor0
Besiktas1
W
22.02.26SL
Besiktas4
Goztepe0
W
Karagumruk
18.04.26SL
Karagumruk1
Eyupspor2
L
12.04.26SL
Konyaspor3
Karagumruk0
L
05.04.26SL
Karagumruk2
Rizespor1
W
19.03.26SL
Kayserispor1
Karagumruk0
L
13.03.26SL
Karagumruk2
Fenerbahce0
W
08.03.26SL
Gaziantep1
Karagumruk1
D
03.03.26CUP
Fethiyespor0
Karagumruk2
W
27.02.26SL
Trabzonspor3
Karagumruk1
L
22.02.26SL
Karagumruk0
Samsunspor0
D
16.02.26SL
Kasimpasa3
Karagumruk2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Turkey Super Lig fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.35 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Besiktas vs Karagumruk?
Our selection is 1 — Besiktas to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Besiktas's current form?
Besiktas have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Karagumruk been performing recently?
Karagumruk have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Besiktas lead with 6 wins versus Karagumruk's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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