WON Tip WON Bnei Yehuda 2-1 Kiryat Gat
B

Bnei Yehuda

Home
W D W D W
6W 4D 0L ▼ Declining
VS
2-1
5:00 pm
N/A
K
Kiryat Gat
Away
L W L D D
4W 3D 3L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 1st October 2026
1
Backing Bnei Yehuda to win
Implied Prob 79.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -34.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Bnei Yehuda to win
1.26
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Bnei Yehuda vs Kiryat Gat Competition: Israel Leumit League Date: Thursday, 1st October 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Bnei Yehuda to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 45% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
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Head to Head
Record
0
Bnei Yehuda
2
Draws
1
Kiryat Gat
3
Meetings
1
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Bnei Yehuda won 0 of the last 3 meetings (2 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Bnei Yehuda
Metric
Kiryat Gat
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.3
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-4-0
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
60%
40%
2.7
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
B0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 10.8%
1-1 11.8%
1-2 6.5%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 5.1%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.8%) 2-1(9.5%) 2-0(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Bnei Yehuda
Overall
7.2 —
Scoring
7.3 —
Defence
7.0 —
Kiryat Gat
Overall
4.9 ▲
Scoring
4.3 ▲
Defence
6.7 ▲
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Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
13.04.15LL
Bnei Yehuda1
Kiryat Gat1
02.01.15LL
Kiryat Gat0
Bnei Yehuda0
19.09.14LL
Bnei Yehuda0
Kiryat Gat1
Recent Form
Bnei Yehuda
28.09.26LL
Hapoel Kfar Saba1
Bnei Yehuda2
W
17.09.26LL
Bnei Yehuda1
M. Herzliya1
D
10.09.26LL
Ironi Modiin2
Bnei Yehuda4
W
07.09.26LL
Bnei Yehuda0
H. Ironi Rishon0
D
31.08.26LL
H. Akko0
Bnei Yehuda3
W
23.08.26LL
Bnei Yehuda3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem1
W
18.08.26LL
Maccabi Bnei Raina1
Bnei Yehuda4
W
20.07.26CF
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
Bnei Yehuda1
D
10.07.26CF
Bnei Yehuda2
Hapoel Jerusalem2
D
07.07.26CF
Bnei Yehuda2
Kiryat Shmona0
W
Kiryat Gat
28.09.26LL
Kiryat Gat0
MS Kafr Qasim1
L
17.09.26LL
H. Raanana0
Kiryat Gat1
W
10.09.26LL
Hapoel Kfar Saba2
Kiryat Gat0
L
07.09.26LL
Kiryat Gat1
M. Herzliya1
D
30.08.26LL
Ironi Modiin1
Kiryat Gat1
D
24.08.26LL
Kiryat Gat1
H. Ironi Rishon2
L
18.08.26LL
H. Akko0
Kiryat Gat2
W
20.02.26LAS
Kiryat Gat1
Ramat Hasharon1
D
13.02.26LAS
Kfar Saba 19281
Kiryat Gat4
W
06.02.26LAS
Kiryat Gat2
Maccabi Yavne1
W
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Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Israel Leumit League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.26, which our model rates near 50%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bnei Yehuda vs Kiryat Gat?
Our selection is 1 — Bnei Yehuda to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Bnei Yehuda's current form?
Bnei Yehuda have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kiryat Gat been performing recently?
Kiryat Gat have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bnei Yehuda lead with 0 wins versus Kiryat Gat's 1, with 2 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
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