WON Tip WON San Martin S.J. 2 0-2 Lanus 2
S

San Martin S.J. 2

Home
L L D L W
2W 4D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
0-2
7:00 pm
N/A
L
Lanus 2
Away
W D L W W
6W 2D 2L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 1st October 2026
2
Backing Lanus 2 to win
Implied Prob 80% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -10% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Head to Head
Record
1
San Martin S.J. 2
0
Draws
2
Lanus 2
3
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Lanus 2 won 2 of 3 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
San Martin S.J. 2
Metric
Lanus 2
0.7
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.3
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
2-4-4
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
20%
60%
2.7
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
S0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 11.4%
0-2 9.7%
0-3 5.5%
0-4 2.3%
0-5 0.8%
S1
1-0 6.7%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 9.7%
1-3 5.5%
1-4 2.3%
1-5 0.8%
S2
2-0 3.4%
2-1 5.7%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 2.8%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
S3
3-0 1.1%
3-1 1.9%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(11.4%) 0-2(9.7%) 1-2(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
San Martin S.J. 2
Overall
3.2 —
Scoring
2.3 —
Defence
4.7 —
Lanus 2
Overall
6.6 —
Scoring
6.0 —
Defence
5.7 —
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 33%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 28%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
29.04.26RL
Lanus 26
San Martin S.J. 21
22.10.25RL
San Martin S.J. 20
Lanus 21
22.05.25RL
Lanus 20
San Martin S.J. 23
Recent Form
San Martin S.J. 2
25.09.26RL
San Martin S.J. 20
Godoy Cruz 21
L
17.09.26RL
Newells Old Boys 24
San Martin S.J. 20
L
09.09.26RL
San Martin S.J. 21
Defensa y Justicia 21
D
02.09.26RL
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 21
San Martin S.J. 20
L
25.08.26RL
San Martin S.J. 21
Huracan 20
W
19.08.26RL
Ferro 20
San Martin S.J. 25
W
12.08.26RL
San Martin S.J. 20
Boca Juniors 20
D
05.08.26RL
Independiente 29
San Martin S.J. 20
L
23.07.26RL
San Martin S.J. 20
Atl. Rafaela 20
D
16.07.26RL
Platense 20
San Martin S.J. 20
D
Lanus 2
23.09.26RL
Lanus 22
Banfield 21
W
16.09.26RL
Lanus 23
Ind. Rivadavia 23
D
10.09.26RL
Deportivo Riestra 24
Lanus 21
L
01.09.26RL
Lanus 23
Belgrano 21
W
26.08.26RL
Colon Santa Fe 20
Lanus 22
W
18.08.26RL
Newells Old Boys 21
Lanus 22
W
12.08.26RL
Lanus 23
Defensa y Justicia 21
W
05.08.26RL
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 20
Lanus 20
D
23.07.26RL
Lanus 21
Huracan 20
W
13.07.26RL
Ferro 22
Lanus 21
L
San Martin S.J. 2 (Home)
25.09.26RL
San Martin S.J. 20
Godoy Cruz 21
L
09.09.26RL
San Martin S.J. 21
Defensa y Justicia 21
D
25.08.26RL
San Martin S.J. 21
Huracan 20
W
12.08.26RL
San Martin S.J. 20
Boca Juniors 20
D
23.07.26RL
San Martin S.J. 20
Atl. Rafaela 20
D
10.06.26RL
San Martin S.J. 20
Estudiantes L.P. 24
L
26.05.26RL
San Martin S.J. 21
Colon Santa Fe 21
D
19.05.26RL
San Martin S.J. 20
Ind. Rivadavia 22
L
07.05.26RL
San Martin S.J. 21
Belgrano 22
L
14.04.26RL
San Martin S.J. 22
Newells Old Boys 21
W
Lanus 2 (Away)
10.09.26RL
Deportivo Riestra 24
Lanus 21
L
26.08.26RL
Colon Santa Fe 20
Lanus 22
W
18.08.26RL
Newells Old Boys 21
Lanus 22
W
05.08.26RL
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 20
Lanus 20
D
13.07.26RL
Ferro 22
Lanus 21
L
27.06.26RL
River Plate 23
Lanus 21
L
18.06.26RL
Boca Juniors 20
Lanus 21
W
04.06.26RL
Atl. Rafaela 21
Lanus 27
W
19.05.26RL
Quilmes 20
Lanus 22
W
06.05.26RL
Central Cordoba 21
Lanus 25
W
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Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Argentina Reserve League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 2 at @1.25, which our model rates near 21%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for San Martin S.J. 2 vs Lanus 2?
Our selection is 2 — Lanus 2 to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is San Martin S.J. 2's current form?
San Martin S.J. 2 have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lanus 2 been performing recently?
Lanus 2 have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
San Martin S.J. 2 lead with 1 wins versus Lanus 2's 2, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
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