WON Tip WON Borneo 3-0 Semen Padang
B

Borneo

Home
W W W D W
7W 2D 1L → Steady
VS
3-0
S
Semen Padang
Away
L L L W D
2W 3D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 25th April 2026
1
Backing Borneo to win
Borneo 50%
Draw 30%
Semen Padang 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 78.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -23.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Borneo to win
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Borneo vs Semen Padang Competition: Indonesia Super League Date: Saturday, 25th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Borneo to win) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 55% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Borneo
3
Draws
2
Semen Padang
9
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
56%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Neutral Borneo won 4 of the last 9 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Borneo
Metric
Semen Padang
2.6
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.5
0%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-2-1
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
70%
20%
3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
B0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 4.7%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 10.7%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 4.4%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 11.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 6.8%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 3.9%
4-1 3.5%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(11.0%) 1-0(10.7%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Borneo Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Semen Padang Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Borneo
Overall
7.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.0
Semen Padang
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.11.25SL
Semen Padang0
Borneo2
14.01.25SL
Borneo1
Semen Padang3
12.08.24SL
Semen Padang1
Borneo3
17.12.19SL
Semen Padang1
Borneo1
24.08.19SL
Borneo1
Semen Padang0
31.08.17SL
Semen Padang1
Borneo1
08.05.17SL
Borneo1
Semen Padang0
11.11.16SL
Semen Padang2
Borneo1
20.07.16SL
Borneo0
Semen Padang0
Recent Form
Borneo
18.04.26SL
PSM Makassar1
Borneo2
W
11.04.26SL
Borneo5
PSBS Biak Numfor1
W
05.04.26SL
Madura United1
Borneo3
W
15.03.26SL
Borneo1
Persib Bandung1
D
07.03.26SL
Borneo5
Persebaya1
W
03.03.26SL
Persija Jakarta2
Borneo2
D
26.02.26SL
Borneo3
Arema FC1
W
22.02.26SL
Dewena United2
Borneo1
L
07.02.26SL
FC Bhayangkara1
Borneo2
W
01.02.26SL
Borneo2
PSIM Yogyakarta1
W
Semen Padang
20.04.26SL
Semen Padang0
Persijap Jepara2
L
12.04.26SL
Persis Solo2
Semen Padang1
L
05.04.26SL
Semen Padang0
Persib Bandung2
L
09.03.26SL
PSBS Biak Numfor0
Semen Padang2
W
04.03.26SL
Semen Padang0
PSIM Yogyakarta0
D
24.02.26SL
FC Bhayangkara4
Semen Padang0
L
20.02.26SL
Semen Padang2
Malut United2
D
15.02.26SL
Arema FC3
Semen Padang0
L
08.02.26SL
Semen Padang1
Persita0
W
02.02.26SL
PSM Makassar0
Semen Padang0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Indonesia Super League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.27 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Borneo vs Semen Padang?
Our selection is 1 — Borneo to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Borneo's current form?
Borneo have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Semen Padang been performing recently?
Semen Padang have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Borneo lead with 4 wins versus Semen Padang's 2, with 3 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 56%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 24predictiontoday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.

18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.