WON Tip WON Celtic 3-1 Falkirk
C

Celtic

Home
W W W L W
5W 3D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
3-1
F
Falkirk
Away
L L W L D
4W 2D 4L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 25th April 2026
1
Backing Celtic to win
Celtic 50%
Draw 30%
Falkirk 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 71.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -13.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
8
Celtic
2
Draws
0
Falkirk
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Celtic won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Celtic
Metric
Falkirk
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.7
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-3-2
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
50%
40%
3
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
C0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 7.2%
0-2 5.2%
0-3 2.5%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
C1
1-0 7.7%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 3.9%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
C2
2-0 6.0%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
C3
3-0 3.1%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
C4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.7%) 1-0(7.7%) 2-0(6.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Celtic Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Falkirk Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Celtic
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.3
Falkirk
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.02.26PRE
Celtic2
Falkirk0
14.01.26PRE
Falkirk0
Celtic1
29.10.25PRE
Celtic4
Falkirk0
15.08.25LC
Celtic4
Falkirk1
22.09.24LC
Celtic5
Falkirk2
03.04.21SC
Celtic3
Falkirk0
29.01.12LC
Falkirk1
Celtic3
07.03.10PRE
Falkirk0
Celtic2
16.01.10PRE
Celtic1
Falkirk1
08.11.09PRE
Falkirk3
Celtic3
Recent Form
Celtic
19.04.26SC
Celtic2
St. Mirren2
W
11.04.26PRE
Celtic1
St. Mirren0
W
05.04.26PRE
Dundee FC1
Celtic2
W
22.03.26PRE
Dundee Utd2
Celtic0
L
14.03.26PRE
Celtic3
Motherwell1
W
08.03.26SC
Rangers0
Celtic0
W
04.03.26PRE
Aberdeen1
Celtic2
W
01.03.26PRE
Rangers2
Celtic2
D
26.02.26EL
Stuttgart0
Celtic1
W
22.02.26PRE
Celtic1
Hibernian2
L
Falkirk
18.04.26SC
Dunfermline0
Falkirk0
L
12.04.26PRE
Falkirk3
Rangers6
L
04.04.26PRE
Motherwell2
Falkirk3
W
21.03.26PRE
Falkirk1
St. Mirren2
L
14.03.26PRE
Aberdeen1
Falkirk1
D
06.03.26SC
Falkirk2
Dundee Utd1
W
28.02.26PRE
Falkirk5
Kilmarnock1
W
21.02.26PRE
Hearts1
Falkirk0
L
14.02.26PRE
Falkirk2
Dundee Utd3
L
11.02.26PRE
Falkirk1
Dundee FC0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Scotland Premiership fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.39 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Celtic vs Falkirk?
Our selection is 1 — Celtic to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Celtic's current form?
Celtic have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Falkirk been performing recently?
Falkirk have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Celtic lead with 8 wins versus Falkirk's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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