LOST Tip LOST Bournemouth 1-1 Man City
B

Bournemouth

Home
W W D W W
4W 6D 0L ▼ Declining
VS
1-1
M
Man City
Away
W W W D W
9W 1D 0L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 19th May 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 73% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +8% Value detected
Kelly % 29.6% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.37
Man City Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Bournemouth vs Man City Competition: Premier League Date: Tuesday, 19th May 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 81% Also: Man City Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Bournemouth
0
Draws
9
Man City
10
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Bournemouth
Metric
Man City
1.3
Goals For / Game
2.4
0.7
Goals Against / Game
0.5
50%
Clean Sheets
70%
4-6-0
W — D — L
9-1-0
Win Rate
40%
90%
2.5
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
B0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 13.4%
0-2 10.4%
0-3 5.4%
0-4 2.1%
0-5 0.6%
B1
1-0 7.8%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 9.3%
1-3 4.8%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.6%
B2
2-0 3.5%
2-1 5.4%
2-2 4.2%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.3%
B3
3-0 1.1%
3-1 1.6%
3-2 1.3%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(13.4%) 1-1(12.0%) 0-2(10.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Bournemouth
Overall
5.8
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.7
Man City
Overall
9.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
8.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 33%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 33%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.11.25PL
Manchester City3
Bournemouth1
20.05.25PL
Manchester City3
Bournemouth1
30.03.25FAC
Bournemouth1
Manchester City2
02.11.24PL
Bournemouth2
Manchester City1
24.02.24PL
Bournemouth0
Manchester City1
04.11.23PL
Manchester City6
Bournemouth1
25.02.23PL
Bournemouth1
Manchester City4
13.08.22PL
Manchester City4
Bournemouth0
24.09.20EFL
Manchester City2
Bournemouth1
15.07.20PL
Manchester City2
Bournemouth1
Recent Form
Bournemouth
09.05.26PL
Fulham0
Bournemouth1
W
03.05.26PL
Bournemouth3
Crystal Palace0
W
22.04.26PL
Bournemouth2
Leeds2
D
18.04.26PL
Newcastle1
Bournemouth2
W
11.04.26PL
Arsenal1
Bournemouth2
W
20.03.26PL
Bournemouth2
Manchester Utd2
D
14.03.26PL
Burnley0
Bournemouth0
D
03.03.26PL
Bournemouth0
Brentford0
D
28.02.26PL
Bournemouth1
Sunderland1
D
21.02.26PL
West Ham0
Bournemouth0
D
Man City
16.05.26FAC
Chelsea0
Manchester City1
W
13.05.26PL
Manchester City3
Crystal Palace0
W
09.05.26PL
Manchester City3
Brentford0
W
04.05.26PL
Everton3
Manchester City3
D
25.04.26FAC
Manchester City2
Southampton1
W
22.04.26PL
Burnley0
Manchester City1
W
19.04.26PL
Manchester City2
Arsenal1
W
12.04.26PL
Chelsea0
Manchester City3
W
04.04.26FAC
Manchester City4
Liverpool0
W
22.03.26EFL
Arsenal0
Manchester City2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 19th May 2026, Bournemouth host Man City in Premier League. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Bournemouth arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Man City are travelling well, with a record of 9W 1D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Bournemouth, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Man City's 9, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Premier League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 2.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.37 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bournemouth vs Man City?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 81%.
What is Bournemouth's current form?
Bournemouth have won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Man City been performing recently?
Man City have recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bournemouth lead with 1 wins versus Man City's 9, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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