Strong Signal 80% Confidence
B

Breidablik

Home
W W L W D
6W 1D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
8:15 pm
Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur)
K
Keflavik
Away
D W D L L
4W 3D 3L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 13th July 2026
1X
Backing Breidablik to win or draw
Implied Prob 83.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -3.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Breidablik to win or draw
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Breidablik vs Keflavik Competition: Iceland Besta deild karla Date: Monday, 13th July 2026 KO: 8:15 pm Pick: 1X (Breidablik to win or draw) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 80% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (85%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Breidablik
2
Draws
3
Keflavik
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Breidablik
Metric
Keflavik
2.9
Goals For / Game
1.5
2.1
Goals Against / Game
1.8
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-1-3
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
60%
40%
4.2
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
B0
0-0 1.6%
0-1 2.8%
0-2 2.6%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.3%
B1
1-0 3.7%
1-1 6.7%
1-2 6.0%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.6%
B2
2-0 4.4%
2-1 7.8%
2-2 7.1%
2-3 4.2%
2-4 1.9%
2-5 0.7%
B3
3-0 3.4%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 5.5%
3-3 3.3%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.5%
B4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 3.3%
4-3 2.0%
4-4 0.9%
4-5 0.3%
B5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.7%
5-2 1.5%
5-3 0.9%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.2%
Top Scores 2-1(7.8%) 2-2(7.1%) 1-1(6.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Breidablik
Overall
6.3
Scoring
9.7
Defence
3.0
Keflavik
Overall
4.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 43%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.04.26BK
Keflavik0
Breidablik0
25.04.24CUP
Keflavik2
Breidablik1
07.03.24CUP
Breidablik4
Keflavik0
20.08.23BK
Breidablik2
Keflavik1
29.05.23BK
Keflavik0
Breidablik0
17.07.22BK
Keflavik2
Breidablik3
19.04.22BK
Breidablik4
Keflavik1
08.01.22FC
Breidablik5
Keflavik2
25.07.21BK
Keflavik2
Breidablik0
23.06.21CUP
Keflavik2
Breidablik0
Recent Form
Breidablik
04.07.26BK
Akranes1
Breidablik2
W
28.06.26CUP
Breidablik3
Vikingur Reykjavik0
W
25.06.26BK
Breidablik1
Vikingur Reykjavik4
L
21.06.26BK
Breidablik3
KA Akureyri1
W
16.06.26BK
Stjarnan4
Breidablik4
D
12.06.26CUP
Aegir0
Breidablik3
W
29.05.26BK
Fram4
Breidablik3
L
22.05.26BK
Breidablik6
KR Reykjavik3
W
17.05.26BK
Valur3
Breidablik2
L
13.05.26CUP
Throttur1
Breidablik2
W
Keflavik
06.07.26BK
Keflavik1
Fram1
D
28.06.26BK
Keflavik3
KR Reykjavik2
W
21.06.26BK
Valur1
Keflavik1
D
14.06.26BK
Keflavik1
Hafnarfjordur2
L
31.05.26BK
Vestmannaeyjar6
Keflavik1
L
22.05.26BK
Keflavik1
Thor Akureyri0
W
17.05.26BK
Keflavik1
Stjarnan1
D
08.05.26BK
Akranes1
Keflavik3
W
03.05.26BK
Keflavik1
Vikingur Reykjavik3
L
26.04.26BK
KA Akureyri1
Keflavik2
W
Breidablik (Home)
28.06.26CUP
Breidablik3
Vikingur Reykjavik0
W
25.06.26BK
Breidablik1
Vikingur Reykjavik4
L
21.06.26BK
Breidablik3
KA Akureyri1
W
22.05.26BK
Breidablik6
KR Reykjavik3
W
08.05.26BK
Breidablik3
Hafnarfjordur3
D
27.04.26BK
Breidablik4
Thor Akureyri0
W
17.04.26BK
Breidablik1
Akranes0
W
25.02.26CUP
Breidablik2
Leiknir3
L
19.02.26CUP
Breidablik1
Hafnarfjordur0
W
11.12.25UECL
Breidablik3
Shamrock Rovers1
W
Keflavik (Away)
21.06.26BK
Valur1
Keflavik1
D
31.05.26BK
Vestmannaeyjar6
Keflavik1
L
08.05.26BK
Akranes1
Keflavik3
W
26.04.26BK
KA Akureyri1
Keflavik2
W
17.04.26BK
Fram3
Keflavik1
L
12.04.26BK
KR Reykjavik3
Keflavik2
L
14.02.26CUP
Vestri2
Keflavik3
W
30.01.26CUP
Stjarnan2
Keflavik1
L
21.09.25D1
Njardvik0
Keflavik3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 13th July 2026, Breidablik host Keflavik at Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur) in Iceland Besta deild karla. We recommend Breidablik to win or draw as the standout selection.

Breidablik arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Keflavik are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Breidablik, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Keflavik's 3, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: breidablik to win or draw at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Iceland Besta deild karla match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.20, which our model rates near 80%. The fixture starts at 8:15 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Breidablik vs Keflavik?
Our selection is 1X — Breidablik to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is Breidablik's current form?
Breidablik have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Keflavik been performing recently?
Keflavik have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Breidablik lead with 5 wins versus Keflavik's 3, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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