WON Tip WON Brighton 3-0 Wolves
B

Brighton

Home
L W D W W
6W 1D 3L → Steady
VS
3-0
W
Wolves
Away
D L L L D
2W 3D 5L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 9th May 2026
1
Backing Brighton to win
Brighton 50%
Draw 30%
Wolves 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 77.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -21.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Brighton to win
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Brighton vs Wolves Competition: Premier League Date: Saturday, 9th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Brighton to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 56% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Brighton
3
Draws
1
Wolves
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Brighton won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Brighton
Metric
Wolves
1.5
Goals For / Game
1
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.8
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-1-3
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
60%
20%
2.7
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
B0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 11.1%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.1%) 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   W=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Brighton Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Wolves Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Brighton
Overall
6.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.3
Wolves
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.10.25PL
Wolves1
Brighton1
10.05.25PL
Wolves0
Brighton2
26.10.24PL
Brighton2
Wolves2
18.09.24EFL
Brighton3
Wolves2
28.02.24FAC
Wolves1
Brighton0
22.01.24PL
Brighton0
Wolves0
19.08.23PL
Wolves1
Brighton4
29.04.23PL
Brighton6
Wolves0
05.11.22PL
Wolves2
Brighton3
30.04.22PL
Wolves0
Brighton3
Recent Form
Brighton
02.05.26PL
Newcastle3
Brighton1
L
21.04.26PL
Brighton3
Chelsea0
W
18.04.26PL
Tottenham2
Brighton2
D
11.04.26PL
Burnley0
Brighton2
W
21.03.26PL
Brighton2
Liverpool1
W
14.03.26PL
Sunderland0
Brighton1
W
04.03.26PL
Brighton0
Arsenal1
L
01.03.26PL
Brighton2
Nottingham1
W
21.02.26PL
Brentford0
Brighton2
W
14.02.26FAC
Liverpool3
Brighton0
L
Wolves
02.05.26PL
Wolves1
Sunderland1
D
25.04.26PL
Wolves0
Tottenham1
L
18.04.26PL
Leeds3
Wolves0
L
10.04.26PL
West Ham4
Wolves0
L
16.03.26PL
Brentford2
Wolves2
D
06.03.26FAC
Wolves1
Liverpool3
L
03.03.26PL
Wolves2
Liverpool1
W
27.02.26PL
Wolves2
Aston Villa0
W
22.02.26PL
Crystal Palace1
Wolves0
L
18.02.26PL
Wolves2
Arsenal2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Premier League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.29 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Brighton vs Wolves?
Our selection is 1 — Brighton to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Brighton's current form?
Brighton have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Wolves been performing recently?
Wolves have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Brighton lead with 6 wins versus Wolves's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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