WON Tip WON Celtic 1-0 St Mirren
C

Celtic

Home
W L W W W
5W 2D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
1-0
S
St Mirren
Away
W W L W L
4W 1D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 11th April 2026
1
Backing Celtic to win
Celtic 50%
Draw 30%
St Mirren 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -18.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Celtic to win
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Celtic vs St Mirren Competition: Scotland Premiership Date: Saturday, 11th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Celtic to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 58% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
8
Celtic
1
Draws
1
St Mirren
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Celtic won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Celtic
Metric
St Mirren
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.8
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-2-3
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
50%
40%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
C0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 6.6%
0-2 4.6%
0-3 2.2%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
C1
1-0 7.8%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 7.7%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
C2
2-0 6.5%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
C3
3-0 3.6%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
C4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 2.1%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.0%) 1-0(7.8%) 2-0(6.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Celtic Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
St Mirren Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Celtic
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.0
St Mirren
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.12.25
League Cup (Final): St. Mirren3
Celtic FC1
22.11.25
Premiership: St. Mirren0
Celtic FC1
03.08.25
Premiership: Celtic FC1
St. Mirren0
17.05.25
Premiership: Celtic FC1
St. Mirren1
01.03.25
Premiership: St. Mirren2
Celtic FC5
05.01.25
Premiership: Celtic FC3
St. Mirren0
25.08.24
Premiership: St. Mirren0
Celtic FC3
18.05.24
Premiership: Celtic FC3
St. Mirren2
13.04.24
Premiership: Celtic FC3
St. Mirren0
11.02.24
Scottish Cup: St. Mirren0
Celtic FC2
Recent Form
Celtic
05.04.26
Premiership: Dundee FC1
Celtic FC2
W
22.03.26
Premiership: Dundee United2
Celtic FC0
L
14.03.26
Premiership: Celtic FC3
Motherwell FC1
W
08.03.26
Scottish Cup (QF): Rangers FC0
Celtic FC - W (Pen)0
04.03.26
Premiership: Aberdeen FC1
Celtic FC2
W
01.03.26
Premiership: Rangers FC2
Celtic FC2
D
26.02.26
Europa League: VfB Stuttgart0
Celtic FC1
W
22.02.26
Premiership: Celtic FC1
Hibernian FC2
L
19.02.26
Europa League: Celtic FC1
VfB Stuttgart4
L
15.02.26
Premiership: Kilmarnock FC2
Celtic FC3
W
St Mirren
04.04.26
Premiership: St. Mirren2
Aberdeen FC0
W
21.03.26
Premiership: Falkirk FC1
St. Mirren2
W
15.03.26
Premiership: St. Mirren0
Rangers FC1
L
08.03.26
Scottish Cup (QF): St. Mirren2
Partick Thistle1
W
03.03.26
Premiership: Dundee United2
St. Mirren1
L
28.02.26
Premiership: Livingston FC1
St. Mirren1
D
21.02.26
Premiership: St. Mirren0
Motherwell FC5
L
14.02.26
Premiership: Hibernian FC2
St. Mirren0
L
11.02.26
Premiership: Kilmarnock FC4
St. Mirren3
L
06.02.26
Scottish Cup (R5): Airdrieonians1
St. Mirren2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 11th April 2026, Celtic host St Mirren in Scotland Premiership. We recommend Celtic to win as the standout selection.

Celtic arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

St Mirren are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Celtic, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to St Mirren's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: celtic to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Scotland Premiership fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.31 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Celtic vs St Mirren?
Our selection is 1 — Celtic to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Celtic's current form?
Celtic have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has St Mirren been performing recently?
St Mirren have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Celtic lead with 8 wins versus St Mirren's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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