Moderate Signal 55% Confidence
C

Chernomorets 1919

Home
L W W W W
7W 1D 2L → Steady
VS
—
2:00 pm
—
efbet Arena (Burgas)
S
Svoge
Away
L L L W L
1W 3D 6L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 23rd October 2026
1
Backing Chernomorets 1919 to win
Implied Prob 84% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -29% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Chernomorets 1919 to win
1.19
BTTS — No70% Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Chernomorets 1919 vs Svoge Competition: Bulgaria Vtora Liga Date: Friday, 23rd October 2026 KO: 2:00 pm Pick: 1 (Chernomorets 1919 to win) Odds: 1.19 Confidence: 55% Also: BTTS — No (70%) Also: Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet (60%)
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Head to Head
Record
3
Chernomorets 1919
1
Draws
2
Svoge
6
Meetings
1.5
Avg Goals
17%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Neutral Chernomorets 1919 won 3 of the last 6 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Chernomorets 1919
Metric
Svoge
2
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-1-2
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
70%
10%
2.4
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
C0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 7.2%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 15.3%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 4.3%
1-3 1.1%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
C2
2-0 12.2%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 3.4%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 6.5%
3-1 4.9%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.3%) 2-0(12.2%) 2-1(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Chernomorets 1919
Overall
7.3 ▼
Scoring
6.7 ▼
Defence
7.0 ▼
Svoge
Overall
1.9 ▼
Scoring
2.0 ▼
Defence
6.0 ▼
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 49%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 39%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.05.262L
Chernomorets 19191
Svoge0
16.11.252L
Svoge0
Chernomorets 19191
18.05.242L
Svoge1
Chernomorets 19190
03.11.232L
Chernomorets 19191
Svoge2
20.03.101L
Svoge0
Chernomorets 19190
29.08.091L
Chernomorets 19193
Svoge0
Recent Form
Chernomorets 1919
18.10.26CUP
Chernomorets 19190
Botev Plovdiv4
L
10.10.262L
Dobrudzha0
Chernomorets 19193
W
04.10.26CUP
Volov Shumen0
Chernomorets 19192
W
27.09.262L
Chernomorets 19192
Montana0
W
20.09.262L
Etar2
Chernomorets 19194
W
13.09.262L
Chernomorets 19193
Spartak Pleven0
W
07.09.262L
Fratria2
Chernomorets 19192
D
02.09.262L
Chernomorets 19191
Ludogorets II0
W
29.08.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Chernomorets 19193
W
23.08.262L
Hebar1
Chernomorets 19190
L
Svoge
10.10.262L
Svoge1
Hebar3
L
04.10.26CUP
Neftochimic Burgas1
Svoge (3-2)1
27.09.262L
CSKA Sofia II1
Svoge0
L
21.09.262L
Svoge3
Vihren2
W
13.09.262L
Beroe1
Svoge0
L
07.09.262L
Svoge0
Lok. Gorna0
D
02.09.262L
Rilski Sportist2
Svoge1
L
29.08.262L
Svoge0
Marek0
D
23.08.262L
Yantra Gabrovo1
Svoge0
L
16.08.262L
Svoge0
Nesebar1
L
Chernomorets 1919 (Home)
18.10.26CUP
Chernomorets 19190
Botev Plovdiv4
L
27.09.262L
Chernomorets 19192
Montana0
W
13.09.262L
Chernomorets 19193
Spartak Pleven0
W
02.09.262L
Chernomorets 19191
Ludogorets II0
W
17.08.262L
Chernomorets 19190
CSKA Sofia II1
L
01.08.262L
Chernomorets 19191
Beroe0
W
11.07.26CF
Chernomorets 19191
Etar3
L
15.05.262L
Chernomorets 19191
Svoge0
W
03.05.262L
Chernomorets 19191
Etar1
D
16.04.262L
Chernomorets 19190
Ludogorets II0
D
Svoge (Away)
04.10.26CUP
Neftochimic Burgas1
Svoge (3-2)1
27.09.262L
CSKA Sofia II1
Svoge0
L
13.09.262L
Beroe1
Svoge0
L
02.09.262L
Rilski Sportist2
Svoge1
L
23.08.262L
Yantra Gabrovo1
Svoge0
L
02.08.262L
Dobrudzha0
Svoge0
D
27.06.26CF
CSKA Sofia II2
Svoge1
L
15.05.262L
Chernomorets 19191
Svoge0
L
02.05.262L
Belasitsa3
Svoge0
L
16.04.262L
Vihren4
Svoge1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Bulgaria Vtora Liga match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into efbet Arena (Burgas). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.19, which our model rates near 48. The fixture starts at 2:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Chernomorets 1919 vs Svoge?
Our selection is 1 — Chernomorets 1919 to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Chernomorets 1919's current form?
Chernomorets 1919 have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Svoge been performing recently?
Svoge have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Chernomorets 1919 lead with 3 wins versus Svoge's 2, with 1 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 17%.
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