Moderate Signal 62% Confidence
C

Cork City

Home
W D W W W
8W 2D 0L ▲ Improving
VS
W
Wexford
Away
W D W W L
4W 4D 2L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 17th April 2026
1
Backing Cork City to win
Cork City 50%
Draw 30%
Wexford 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -14.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
6
Cork City
4
Draws
0
Wexford
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Cork City won 6 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Cork City
Metric
Wexford
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.3
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
8-2-0
W — D — L
4-4-2
Win Rate
80%
40%
2.8
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
C0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 6.4%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 10.6%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 9.3%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.1%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
C4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.6%) 2-1(9.8%) 2-0(9.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   W=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Cork City Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Wexford Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Cork City
Overall
8.6
Scoring
7.3
Defence
7.7
Wexford
Overall
5.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
20.02.26First Division
Wexford1
Cork City4
18.10.24First Division
Cork City6
Wexford0
04.07.24First Division
Wexford1
Cork City3
06.05.24First Division
Cork City1
Wexford1
01.04.24First Division
Wexford1
Cork City1
15.09.23FAI Cup
Cork City2
Wexford1
07.10.22First Division
Cork City0
Wexford0
22.07.22First Division
Wexford0
Cork City1
20.05.22First Division
Cork City1
Wexford1
01.04.22First Division
Wexford0
Cork City1
Recent Form
Cork City
06.04.26First Division
Cork City4
Kerry2
W
03.04.26First Division
Finn Harps0
Cork City0
D
27.03.26First Division
Cork City4
Athlone1
W
20.03.26First Division
UC Dublin0
Cork City1
W
13.03.26First Division
Cork City2
Longford1
W
06.03.26First Division
Cobh Ramblers1
Cork City1
D
27.02.26First Division
Cork City1
Bray0
W
20.02.26First Division
Wexford1
Cork City4
W
13.02.26First Division
Cork City1
Treaty United0
W
04.02.26Club Friendly
Cork City4
Kerry1
W
Wexford
10.04.26First Division
Wexford1
Athlone0
W
06.04.26First Division
UC Dublin0
Wexford0
D
03.04.26First Division
Wexford2
Bray1
W
27.03.26First Division
Wexford3
Treaty United2
W
21.03.26First Division
Longford2
Wexford0
L
13.03.26First Division
Wexford1
Kerry1
D
06.03.26First Division
Finn Harps1
Wexford1
D
27.02.26First Division
Athlone2
Wexford2
D
20.02.26First Division
Wexford1
Cork City4
L
13.02.26First Division
Cobh Ramblers0
Wexford3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Ireland Division 1 fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.30 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cork City vs Wexford?
Our selection is 1 — Cork City to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Cork City's current form?
Cork City have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Wexford been performing recently?
Wexford have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cork City lead with 6 wins versus Wexford's 0, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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