WON Tip WON Fenerbahce 2-2 Rizespor
F

Fenerbahce

Home
W W W L W
6W 2D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
2-2
R
Rizespor
Away
W W L L W
5W 1D 4L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 17th April 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 70.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +13.1% Value detected
Kelly % 45% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.41
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Fenerbahce vs Rizespor Competition: Turkey Super Lig Date: Friday, 17th April 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.41 Confidence: 84% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
10
Fenerbahce
0
Draws
0
Rizespor
10
Meetings
4.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Fenerbahce
Metric
Rizespor
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.4
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-2-2
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
60%
50%
3.2
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
F0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 6.0%
0-2 4.2%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
F1
1-0 7.5%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
F2
2-0 6.6%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
F3
3-0 3.8%
3-1 5.4%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
F4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.5%) 2-1(9.2%) 1-0(7.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Fenerbahce
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.0
Rizespor
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
23.11.25Süper Lig
Rizespor2
Fenerbahce5
02.02.25Süper Lig
Fenerbahce3
Rizespor2
25.08.24Süper Lig
Rizespor0
Fenerbahce5
17.02.24Süper Lig
Rizespor1
Fenerbahce3
01.10.23Süper Lig
Fenerbahce5
Rizespor0
19.01.23Cup
Fenerbahce2
Rizespor1
22.04.22Süper Lig
Rizespor0
Fenerbahce6
05.12.21Süper Lig
Fenerbahce4
Rizespor0
30.01.21Süper Lig
Fenerbahce1
Rizespor0
11.09.20Süper Lig
Rizespor1
Fenerbahce2
Recent Form
Fenerbahce
11.04.26Süper Lig
Kayserispor0
Fenerbahce4
W
05.04.26Süper Lig
Fenerbahce1
Besiktas0
W
17.03.26Süper Lig
Fenerbahce4
Gaziantep1
W
13.03.26Süper Lig
Karagumruk2
Fenerbahce0
L
08.03.26Süper Lig
Fenerbahce3
Samsunspor2
W
04.03.26Cup
Gaziantep0
Fenerbahce4
W
01.03.26Süper Lig
Antalyaspor2
Fenerbahce2
D
26.02.26Europa League
Nottingham1
Fenerbahce2
W
23.02.26Süper Lig
Fenerbahce1
Kasimpasa1
D
19.02.26Europa League
Fenerbahce0
Nottingham3
L
Rizespor
13.04.26Süper Lig
Rizespor2
Gaziantep1
W
09.04.26Süper Lig
Rizespor4
Samsunspor1
W
05.04.26Süper Lig
Karagumruk2
Rizespor1
L
14.03.26Süper Lig
Trabzonspor1
Rizespor0
L
08.03.26Süper Lig
Rizespor1
Antalyaspor0
W
04.03.26Cup
Besiktas4
Rizespor1
L
28.02.26Süper Lig
Kasimpasa0
Rizespor3
W
20.02.26Süper Lig
Rizespor2
Kocaelispor0
W
14.02.26Süper Lig
Genclerbirligi2
Rizespor2
D
08.02.26Süper Lig
Rizespor0
Galatasaray3
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Turkey Super Lig fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 2.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.41 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Fenerbahce vs Rizespor?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 84%.
What is Fenerbahce's current form?
Fenerbahce have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rizespor been performing recently?
Rizespor have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Fenerbahce lead with 10 wins versus Rizespor's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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