Moderate Signal 45% Confidence
C

Criciuma U20

Home
D W W W W
6W 1D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
7:00 pm
N/A
C
Concordia U20
Away
L W W L W
6W 1D 3L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 15th July 2026
1
Backing Criciuma U20 to win
Criciuma U20 50%
Draw 30%
Concordia U20 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 72.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -27.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Criciuma U20 to win
1.38
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20 Competition: Brazil Catarinense U20 Date: Wednesday, 15th July 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (Criciuma U20 to win) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 45% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (80%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Criciuma U20
2
Draws
1
Concordia U20
3
Meetings
0.3
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Criciuma U20 won 0 of the last 3 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Criciuma U20
Metric
Concordia U20
1.3
Goals For / Game
0
1.4
Goals Against / Game
0
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-1-3
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
60%
60%
1.4
Avg Goals
35%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
C0
0-0 25.9%
0-1 18.2%
0-2 6.4%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 16.9%
1-1 11.8%
1-2 4.1%
1-3 1.0%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
C2
2-0 5.5%
2-1 3.8%
2-2 1.3%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 0.8%
3-2 0.3%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.9%) 2-0(5.5%) 2-1(3.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Criciuma U20 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Concordia U20 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Criciuma U20
Overall
6.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
Concordia U20
Overall
6.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 37%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 32%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.04.26CAT
Concordia U201
Criciuma U200
12.07.25CAT
Criciuma U200
Concordia U200
10.05.25CAT
Concordia U200
Criciuma U200
Recent Form
Criciuma U20
11.07.26CAT
Avai U200
Criciuma U200
D
08.07.26CAT
Criciuma U202
Barra FC U201
W
04.07.26CAT
Nacao U200
Criciuma U201
W
01.07.26BRA
Criciuma U203
Gremio U202
W
25.06.26BRA
Vasco U201
Criciuma U202
W
20.06.26BRA
Cuiaba U202
Criciuma U201
L
16.06.26BRA
Criciuma U200
Palmeiras U206
L
13.06.26CAT
Figueirense U200
Criciuma U201
W
10.06.26BRA
Botafogo U202
Criciuma U200
L
05.06.26CAT
Criciuma U203
Joinville U200
W
Concordia U20
11.07.26CAT
Avai U200
Criciuma U200
D
08.07.26CAT
Criciuma U202
Barra FC U201
W
04.07.26CAT
Nacao U200
Criciuma U201
W
01.07.26BRA
Criciuma U203
Gremio U202
W
25.06.26BRA
Vasco U201
Criciuma U202
W
20.06.26BRA
Cuiaba U202
Criciuma U201
L
16.06.26BRA
Criciuma U200
Palmeiras U206
L
13.06.26CAT
Figueirense U200
Criciuma U201
W
10.06.26BRA
Botafogo U202
Criciuma U200
L
05.06.26CAT
Criciuma U203
Joinville U200
W
Criciuma U20 (Home)
08.07.26CAT
Criciuma U202
Barra FC U201
W
01.07.26BRA
Criciuma U203
Gremio U202
W
16.06.26BRA
Criciuma U200
Palmeiras U206
L
05.06.26CAT
Criciuma U203
Joinville U200
W
27.05.26BRA
Criciuma U201
Bahia U201
D
23.05.26CAT
Criciuma U200
Carlos Renaux U200
D
16.05.26BRA
Criciuma U202
Fluminense U200
W
13.05.26BRA
Criciuma U201
Fortaleza U202
L
02.05.26CAT
Criciuma U201
Avai U201
D
25.04.26BRA
Criciuma U204
Avai U206
L
Concordia U20 (Away)
11.07.26CAT
Nacao U202
Concordia U201
L
21.06.26CAT
Carlos Renaux U203
Concordia U202
L
10.06.26CAT
Chapecoense-SC U203
Concordia U201
L
19.05.26CAT
Barra FC U201
Concordia U200
L
16.05.26CAT
Brusque U201
Concordia U201
D
25.04.26CAT
Figueirense U204
Concordia U200
L
07.04.26CAT
Joinville U202
Concordia U202
D
02.08.25CAT
Chapecoense-SC U202
Concordia U200
L
12.07.25CAT
Criciuma U200
Concordia U200
D
21.06.25CAT
Avai U201
Concordia U201
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 15th July 2026, Criciuma U20 host Concordia U20 at N/A in Brazil Catarinense U20. We recommend Criciuma U20 to win as the standout selection.

Criciuma U20 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Concordia U20 are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Criciuma U20, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Concordia U20's 1, with 2 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: criciuma u20 to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Brazil Catarinense U20 match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.38, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20?
Our selection is 1 — Criciuma U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Criciuma U20's current form?
Criciuma U20 have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Concordia U20 been performing recently?
Concordia U20 have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Criciuma U20 lead with 0 wins versus Concordia U20's 1, with 2 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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