WON Tip WON Dep Pasto W 1-3 Atl Nacional W
D

Dep Pasto W

Home
L L L D L
0W 3D 7L → Steady
VS
1-3
A
Atl Nacional W
Away
W W W L W
8W 0D 2L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 24th May 2026
2
Backing Atl Nacional W to win
Dep Pasto W 20%
Draw 30%
Atl Nacional W 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 73.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -10.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Atl Nacional W to win
1.36
Atl Nacional W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Dep Pasto W vs Atl Nacional W Competition: Colombia Liga Women Date: Sunday, 24th May 2026 Pick: 2 (Atl Nacional W to win) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 63% Also: Atl Nacional W Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Dep Pasto W
1
Draws
2
Atl Nacional W
3
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Atl Nacional W won 2 of 3 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Dep Pasto W
Metric
Atl Nacional W
0.7
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.7
Goals Against / Game
0.4
20%
Clean Sheets
60%
0-3-7
W — D — L
8-0-2
Win Rate
0%
80%
2.3
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
D0
0-0 10.5%
0-1 17.9%
0-2 15.2%
0-3 8.6%
0-4 3.7%
0-5 1.3%
D1
1-0 5.8%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 8.4%
1-3 4.8%
1-4 2.0%
1-5 0.7%
D2
2-0 1.6%
2-1 2.7%
2-2 2.3%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
D3
3-0 0.3%
3-1 0.5%
3-2 0.4%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
D4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(17.9%) 0-2(15.2%) 0-3(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Dep Pasto W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Atl Nacional W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Dep Pasto W
Overall
0.9
Scoring
2.3
Defence
4.3
Atl Nacional W
Overall
8.0
Scoring
5.7
Defence
8.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 50%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 38%
Away Win & Under 2.5 46%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.03.25LW
Atl. Nacional W2
Dep. Pasto0
06.04.24LW
Dep. Pasto W1
Atl. Nacional1
02.03.23LW
Dep. Pasto W0
Atl. Nacional3
Recent Form
Dep Pasto W
18.05.26LW
America de Cali W2
Dep. Pasto W0
L
10.05.26LW
Dep. Pasto W1
Fortaleza W2
L
04.05.26LW
Once Caldas W1
Dep. Pasto W0
L
26.04.26LW
Dep. Pasto W0
Santa Fe W0
D
11.04.26LW
Dep. Pasto W1
Millonarios W2
L
31.03.26LW
Ind. Medellin W3
Dep. Pasto W1
L
22.03.26LW
Dep. Pasto W0
Junior W0
D
18.03.26LW
Bucaramanga W3
Dep. Pasto W1
L
09.03.26LW
Real Santander W1
Dep. Pasto W1
D
01.03.26LW
Dep. Pasto W2
Inter Palmira W3
L
Atl Nacional W
16.05.26LW
Atl. Nacional W1
Once Caldas W0
W
11.05.26LW
Inter Palmira W0
Atl. Nacional W1
W
01.05.26LW
Atl. Nacional W1
Ind. Medellin W0
W
26.04.26LW
Orsomarso W1
Atl. Nacional W0
L
12.04.26LW
Atl. Nacional W5
Real Santander W0
W
30.03.26LW
Junior W1
Atl. Nacional W2
W
21.03.26LW
Atl. Nacional W2
Bucaramanga W0
W
16.03.26LW
America de Cali W1
Atl. Nacional W0
L
10.03.26LW
Atl. Nacional W2
Millonarios W1
W
25.02.26LW
Santa Fe W0
Atl. Nacional W3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 24th May 2026, Dep Pasto W host Atl Nacional W in Colombia Liga Women. We recommend Atl Nacional W to win as the standout selection.

Dep Pasto W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Atl Nacional W are travelling well, with a record of 8W 0D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dep Pasto W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Atl Nacional W's 2, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: atl nacional w to win at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Colombia Liga Women fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 2, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.36 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dep Pasto W vs Atl Nacional W?
Our selection is 2 — Atl Nacional W to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Dep Pasto W's current form?
Dep Pasto W have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Atl Nacional W been performing recently?
Atl Nacional W have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dep Pasto W lead with 0 wins versus Atl Nacional W's 2, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
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