Moderate Signal 51% Confidence
D

Dinamo Tbilisi

Home
D W L W L
4W 3D 3L → Steady
VS
4:00 pm
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena (Tbilisi)
M
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Away
D W L L L
2W 2D 6L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 10th September 2026
1
Backing Dinamo Tbilisi to win
Implied Prob 78.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -27.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Dinamo Tbilisi to win
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli Date: Thursday, 10th September 2026 KO: 4:00 pm Pick: 1 (Dinamo Tbilisi to win) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 51% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
Draws
0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
3
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Dinamo Tbilisi won 2 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Dinamo Tbilisi
Metric
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.7
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-3-3
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
40%
20%
2.9
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
D0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 5.4%
0-3 2.5%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
D1
1-0 8.3%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 3.8%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
D2
2-0 6.2%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 2.8%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
D3
3-0 3.1%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
D5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.7%) 1-0(8.3%) 2-0(6.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Dinamo Tbilisi
Overall
4.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
4.7
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Overall
2.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 19%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.05.26EL1
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
Dinamo Tbilisi6
17.04.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi1
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
21.02.25CF
Dinamo Tbilisi2
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
Recent Form
Dinamo Tbilisi
06.09.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi1
Dinamo Tbilisi1
D
31.08.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi2
Dila Gori1
W
15.08.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Rustavi3
L
09.08.26EL1
Spaeri1
Dinamo Tbilisi2
W
30.07.26UECL
Zalgiris7
Dinamo Tbilisi2
L
26.07.26CUP
Guria1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
L
23.07.26UECL
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Zalgiris0
W
16.07.26UECL
Dinamo Tbilisi1
Mondorf1
D
09.07.26UECL
Mondorf1
Dinamo Tbilisi2
W
01.07.26SC
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Dila Gori (4-2)0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
05.09.26EL1
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
Spaeri2
D
31.08.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
W
21.08.26EL1
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
Dinamo Batumi1
L
16.08.26EL1
Dila Gori3
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
L
09.08.26EL1
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
Samgurali2
L
01.08.26CUP
Samgurali1
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
L
25.07.26CUP
Gonio1
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
W
14.07.26CF
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
Urartu4
L
23.06.26EL1
Iberia 19992
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
L
18.06.26EL1
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
Gagra1
D
Dinamo Tbilisi (Home)
31.08.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi2
Dila Gori1
W
15.08.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Rustavi3
L
23.07.26UECL
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Zalgiris0
W
16.07.26UECL
Dinamo Tbilisi1
Mondorf1
D
01.07.26SC
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Dila Gori (4-2)0
23.06.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi2
Dinamo Batumi1
W
18.06.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi5
Samgurali3
W
24.05.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Torpedo Kutaisi1
L
16.05.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi2
Iberia 19990
W
07.05.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi2
Spaeri1
W
Meshakhte Tkibuli (Away)
31.08.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
W
16.08.26EL1
Dila Gori3
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
L
01.08.26CUP
Samgurali1
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
L
25.07.26CUP
Gonio1
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
W
23.06.26EL1
Iberia 19992
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
L
13.06.26EL1
Rustavi1
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
L
25.05.26EL1
Spaeri2
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
L
16.05.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi2
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
L
06.05.26EL1
Samgurali3
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
L
27.04.26EL1
Gagra1
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Unknown League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena (Tbilisi). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.27, which our model rates near 53%. The fixture starts at 4:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?
Our selection is 1 — Dinamo Tbilisi to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Dinamo Tbilisi's current form?
Dinamo Tbilisi have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Meshakhte Tkibuli been performing recently?
Meshakhte Tkibuli have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dinamo Tbilisi lead with 2 wins versus Meshakhte Tkibuli's 0, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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