Strong Signal 71% Confidence
L

Legion

Home
L L L D L
1W 1D 8L ▲ Improving
VS
3:45 pm
N/A
T
Tartu Kalev
Away
L L D W W
5W 1D 4L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 10th September 2026
2
Backing Tartu Kalev to win
Implied Prob 77.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -6.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Tartu Kalev to win
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Legion vs Tartu Kalev Date: Thursday, 10th September 2026 KO: 3:45 pm Pick: 2 (Tartu Kalev to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 71% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Legion
0
Draws
8
Tartu Kalev
10
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Tartu Kalev won 8 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Legion
Metric
Tartu Kalev
1
Goals For / Game
1.6
3.1
Goals Against / Game
2.4
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
1-1-8
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
10%
50%
4.1
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
L0
0-0 1.7%
0-1 4.1%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 3.8%
0-4 2.2%
0-5 1.0%
L1
1-0 3.0%
1-1 7.0%
1-2 8.2%
1-3 6.4%
1-4 3.8%
1-5 1.8%
L2
2-0 2.5%
2-1 5.9%
2-2 7.0%
2-3 5.5%
2-4 3.2%
2-5 1.5%
L3
3-0 1.4%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 3.1%
3-4 1.8%
3-5 0.9%
L4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.8%
4-5 0.4%
L5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.2%) 1-3(6.4%) 2-3(5.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Legion
Overall
1.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
0.0
Tartu Kalev
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
2.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 40%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 10%
Home Win & Under 2.5 4%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 50%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.07.26ESB
Tartu Kalev10
Legion2
24.05.26ESB
Legion0
Tartu Kalev6
11.04.26ESB
Tartu Kalev1
Legion0
01.11.25ESB
Tartu Kalev4
Legion3
02.08.25ESB
Legion0
Tartu Kalev1
05.07.25ESB
Tartu Kalev0
Legion1
19.04.25ESB
Legion1
Tartu Kalev0
10.11.24ESB
Legion0
Tartu Kalev2
17.08.24ESB
Tartu Kalev1
Legion0
06.07.24ESB
Tartu Kalev2
Legion0
Recent Form
Legion
05.09.26ESB
Tulevik3
Legion0
L
30.08.26ESB
Legion1
Parnu JK Vaprus U215
L
24.08.26ESB
Levadia U191
Legion0
L
21.08.26ESB
Tallinna Kalev U213
Legion3
D
15.08.26ESB
Legion0
Tammeka U213
L
09.08.26ESB
Legion1
Narva U213
L
01.08.26ESB
Legion0
Johvi Phoenix1
L
26.07.26CUP
Saku Sporting2
Legion1
L
18.07.26ESB
Legion2
Tabasalu0
W
12.07.26ESB
Tartu Kalev10
Legion2
L
Tartu Kalev
06.09.26ESB
Tartu Kalev0
Narva U211
L
29.08.26ESB
Tartu Kalev0
Johvi Phoenix3
L
25.08.26ESB
Tartu Kalev1
Tallinna Kalev U211
D
20.08.26ESB
Tartu Kalev2
Tammeka U211
W
15.08.26ESB
Tartu Kalev1
Parnu JK Vaprus U210
W
11.08.26CUP
Tallinna Kalev8
Tartu Kalev0
L
08.08.26ESB
Tartu Kalev4
Tulevik2
W
01.08.26ESB
Tartu Kalev3
Tabasalu1
W
23.07.26CUP
Tartu Kalev7
Kuusalu Kalev0
W
19.07.26ESB
Levadia U190
Tartu Kalev5
W
Legion (Home)
30.08.26ESB
Legion1
Parnu JK Vaprus U215
L
15.08.26ESB
Legion0
Tammeka U213
L
09.08.26ESB
Legion1
Narva U213
L
01.08.26ESB
Legion0
Johvi Phoenix1
L
18.07.26ESB
Legion2
Tabasalu0
W
05.07.26ESB
Legion2
Tallinna Kalev U213
L
22.06.26ESB
Legion1
Parnu JK Vaprus U214
L
24.05.26ESB
Legion0
Tartu Kalev6
L
16.05.26ESB
Legion0
Tulevik3
L
24.04.26ESB
Legion3
Tabasalu2
W
Tartu Kalev (Away)
11.08.26CUP
Tallinna Kalev8
Tartu Kalev0
L
19.07.26ESB
Levadia U190
Tartu Kalev5
W
04.07.26ESB
Johvi Phoenix3
Tartu Kalev2
L
21.06.26ESB
Tabasalu3
Tartu Kalev1
L
18.06.26ESB
Narva U213
Tartu Kalev2
L
01.06.26ESB
Tallinna Kalev U217
Tartu Kalev2
L
24.05.26ESB
Legion0
Tartu Kalev6
W
01.05.26ESB
Johvi Phoenix4
Tartu Kalev3
L
28.04.26ESB
Levadia U193
Tartu Kalev1
L
19.04.26ESB
Tammeka U210
Tartu Kalev1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Unknown League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 2 at @1.29, which our model rates near 19%. The fixture starts at 3:45 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Legion vs Tartu Kalev?
Our selection is 2 — Tartu Kalev to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 71%.
What is Legion's current form?
Legion have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tartu Kalev been performing recently?
Tartu Kalev have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Legion lead with 2 wins versus Tartu Kalev's 8, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
⚠️
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