WON Tip WON Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 Rijeka
D

Dinamo Zagreb

Home
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L ▼ Declining
VS
2-2
R
Rijeka
Away
L W W L D
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 18th April 2026
1
Backing Dinamo Zagreb to win
Dinamo Zagreb 50%
Draw 30%
Rijeka 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -13.8% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Dinamo Zagreb to win
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals95%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka Competition: Croatia HNL Date: Saturday, 18th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Dinamo Zagreb to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Dinamo Zagreb
4
Draws
1
Rijeka
10
Meetings
1.9
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Neutral Dinamo Zagreb won 5 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Dinamo Zagreb
Metric
Rijeka
4.2
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.3
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
9-1-0
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
90%
50%
4
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
D0
0-0 1.9%
0-1 2.3%
0-2 1.4%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
D1
1-0 5.3%
1-1 6.4%
1-2 3.8%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
D3
3-0 6.7%
3-1 8.0%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 4.6%
4-1 5.5%
4-2 3.3%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
D5
5-0 2.5%
5-1 3.0%
5-2 1.8%
5-3 0.7%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(8.7%) 3-1(8.0%) 2-0(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Dinamo Zagreb Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Rijeka Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Dinamo Zagreb
Overall
9.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.0
Rijeka
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.02.26HNL
Rijeka0
Dinamo Zagreb0
01.11.25HNL
Dinamo Zagreb2
Rijeka1
16.08.25HNL
Rijeka0
Dinamo Zagreb2
27.04.25HNL
Dinamo Zagreb1
Rijeka0
22.02.25HNL
Rijeka4
Dinamo Zagreb0
23.11.24HNL
Dinamo Zagreb0
Rijeka0
01.09.24HNL
Rijeka1
Dinamo Zagreb1
22.05.24Cup
Rijeka1
Dinamo Zagreb3
15.05.24Cup
Dinamo Zagreb0
Rijeka0
05.05.24HNL
Rijeka1
Dinamo Zagreb2
Recent Form
Dinamo Zagreb
13.04.26HNL
Vukovar 19911
Dinamo Zagreb4
W
08.04.26Cup
Gorica3
Dinamo Zagreb6
W
04.04.26HNL
Dinamo Zagreb7
Osijek0
W
21.03.26HNL
Lok. Zagreb0
Dinamo Zagreb5
W
14.03.26HNL
Dinamo Zagreb4
Slaven Belupo2
W
08.03.26HNL
Hajduk Split1
Dinamo Zagreb3
W
04.03.26Cup
Dinamo Zagreb2
Kurilovec0
W
01.03.26HNL
Dinamo Zagreb4
Gorica2
W
26.02.26Europa League
Genk3
Dinamo Zagreb3
D
22.02.26HNL
Varazdin0
Dinamo Zagreb4
W
Rijeka
12.04.26HNL
Rijeka0
Osijek2
L
08.04.26Cup
Rijeka2
Slaven Belupo0
W
04.04.26HNL
Slaven Belupo0
Rijeka2
W
22.03.26HNL
Gorica4
Rijeka0
L
19.03.26Conference League
Strasbourg1
Rijeka1
D
15.03.26HNL
Rijeka0
Istra 19612
L
12.03.26Conference League
Rijeka1
Strasbourg2
L
08.03.26HNL
Vukovar 19910
Rijeka1
W
04.03.26Cup
Rijeka3
Hajduk Split2
W
01.03.26HNL
Rijeka2
Lok. Zagreb0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Croatia HNL fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.32 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka?
Our selection is 1 — Dinamo Zagreb to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Dinamo Zagreb's current form?
Dinamo Zagreb have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rijeka been performing recently?
Rijeka have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dinamo Zagreb lead with 5 wins versus Rijeka's 1, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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