LOST Tip LOST Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 Transinvest
K

Kauno Zalgiris

Home
W W D W W
9W 1D 0L → Steady
VS
1-2
T
Transinvest
Away
L L D W W
4W 2D 4L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 18th April 2026
1
Backing Kauno Zalgiris to win
Kauno Zalgiris 50%
Draw 30%
Transinvest 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -6.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Kauno Zalgiris vs Transinvest Competition: Lithuania TopLyga Date: Saturday, 18th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Kauno Zalgiris to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 68% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Kauno Zalgiris
0
Draws
1
Transinvest
4
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Kauno Zalgiris won 3 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kauno Zalgiris
Metric
Transinvest
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1.4
60%
Clean Sheets
40%
9-1-0
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
90%
40%
3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
K0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
K1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
K2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
K3
3-0 7.0%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 3.5%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.5%) 2-0(10.5%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kauno Zalgiris Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Transinvest Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Kauno Zalgiris
Overall
9.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
8.7
Transinvest
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 43%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.08.24A Lyga
Transinvest0
Kauno Zalgiris3
26.06.24A Lyga
Kauno Zalgiris2
Transinvest0
02.05.24A Lyga
Transinvest3
Kauno Zalgiris2
12.03.24A Lyga
Kauno Zalgiris2
Transinvest1
Recent Form
Kauno Zalgiris
11.04.26A Lyga
Kauno Zalgiris5
Hegelmann0
W
05.04.26A Lyga
FK Zalgiris0
Kauno Zalgiris3
W
21.03.26A Lyga
Kauno Zalgiris1
FK Suduva1
D
15.03.26A Lyga
FA Siauliai0
Kauno Zalgiris5
W
10.03.26A Lyga
Kauno Zalgiris4
FK Panevezys0
W
07.03.26A Lyga
Dziugas Telsiai1
Kauno Zalgiris2
W
28.02.26A Lyga
Kauno Zalgiris1
Banga0
W
23.02.26A Lyga
Riteriai1
Kauno Zalgiris2
W
16.02.26Supercup
Kauno Zalgiris1
FK Panevezys0
W
06.02.26Club Friendly
Kauno Zalgiris2
Zimbru Chisinau1
W
Transinvest
12.04.26A Lyga
Transinvest1
FK Panevezys2
L
04.04.26A Lyga
Hegelmann3
Transinvest1
L
22.03.26A Lyga
Transinvest0
Dziugas Telsiai0
D
16.03.26A Lyga
Zalgiris Vilnius1
Transinvest2
W
11.03.26A Lyga
Transinvest1
Banga0
W
07.03.26A Lyga
Suduva2
Transinvest0
L
01.03.26A Lyga
Transinvest3
Riteriai0
W
22.02.26A Lyga
Transinvest2
Siauliai FA2
D
15.02.26Club Friendly
Transinvest4
BE1 NFA0
W
11.02.26Club Friendly
FK Panevezys4
Transinvest1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Lithuania TopLyga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.35 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kauno Zalgiris vs Transinvest?
Our selection is 1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Kauno Zalgiris's current form?
Kauno Zalgiris have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Transinvest been performing recently?
Transinvest have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kauno Zalgiris lead with 3 wins versus Transinvest's 1, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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