Moderate Signal 59% Confidence
D

Djoliba

Home
W D W W W
7W 3D 0L → Steady
VS
U
US Bougouni
Away
D L D L W
1W 3D 6L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 28th April 2026
1
Backing Djoliba to win
Djoliba 50%
Draw 30%
US Bougouni 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 88.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -29.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Djoliba to win
1.13
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No75% Djoliba Clean Sheet80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Djoliba vs US Bougouni Competition: Mali Premiere Division Date: Tuesday, 28th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Djoliba to win) Odds: 1.13 Confidence: 59% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: BTTS — No (75%) Also: Djoliba Clean Sheet (80%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Djoliba
1
Draws
2
US Bougouni
8
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
25%
BTTS
38%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Djoliba won 5 of the last 8 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Djoliba
Metric
US Bougouni
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.4
0.2
Goals Against / Game
1.4
80%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-3-0
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
70%
10%
1.9
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
D0
0-0 15.7%
0-1 4.7%
0-2 0.7%
0-3 0.1%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
D1
1-0 24.4%
1-1 7.3%
1-2 1.1%
1-3 0.1%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
D2
2-0 18.9%
2-1 5.7%
2-2 0.9%
2-3 0.1%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
D3
3-0 9.8%
3-1 2.9%
3-2 0.4%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
D4
4-0 3.8%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(24.4%) 2-0(18.9%) 3-0(9.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   U=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Djoliba Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
US Bougouni Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Djoliba
Overall
7.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
9.3
US Bougouni
Overall
1.9
Scoring
1.3
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 48%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 2%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 3%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
27.12.25PD
US Bougouni0
Djoliba2
09.03.25PD
US Bougouni1
Djoliba0
30.01.25PD
Djoliba2
US Bougouni0
04.02.24PD
US Bougouni2
Djoliba2
02.11.23PD
Djoliba1
US Bougouni2
27.05.23PD
US Bougouni0
Djoliba2
05.12.22PD
Djoliba2
US Bougouni0
31.05.17PD
Djoliba3
US Bougouni0
Recent Form
Djoliba
15.04.26PD
Djoliba1
Onze Createurs0
W
05.04.26PD
Djoliba0
Stade Malien0
D
29.03.26PD
Djoliba1
Korofina0
W
18.03.26PD
Bougouba1
Djoliba3
W
08.03.26PD
Derby Academie0
Djoliba2
W
04.03.26PD
Real Bamako1
Djoliba1
D
28.02.26PD
Djoliba4
Foot Elite0
W
22.02.26PD
Djoliba0
Diarra0
D
18.02.26PD
Binga0
Djoliba1
W
15.02.26CON
Djoliba4
San Pedro0
W
US Bougouni
15.04.26PD
US Bougouni0
Foot Elite0
D
04.04.26PD
Korofina2
US Bougouni1
L
17.03.26PD
US Bougouni1
Real Bamako1
D
07.03.26PD
Diarra1
US Bougouni0
L
27.02.26PD
Binga0
US Bougouni1
W
07.02.26PD
US Bougouni0
Bakaridjan2
L
31.01.26PD
USFAS Bamako3
US Bougouni0
L
24.01.26PD
US Bougouni0
Mali Coura3
L
21.01.26PD
US Bougouni0
Derby Academie0
D
16.01.26PD
Onze Createurs2
US Bougouni1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Mali Premiere Division fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.13 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Djoliba vs US Bougouni?
Our selection is 1 — Djoliba to win, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Djoliba's current form?
Djoliba have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has US Bougouni been performing recently?
US Bougouni have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Djoliba lead with 5 wins versus US Bougouni's 2, with 1 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.
⚠️
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