WON Tip WON Ind Medellin W 3-0 Once Caldas W
I

Ind Medellin W

Home
L W L W D
3W 4D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
3-0
O
Once Caldas W
Away
L L L L L
0W 3D 7L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 28th April 2026
1
Backing Ind Medellin W to win
Ind Medellin W 50%
Draw 30%
Once Caldas W 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -30% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Ind Medellin W to win
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ind Medellin W vs Once Caldas W Competition: Colombia Liga Women Date: Tuesday, 28th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Ind Medellin W to win) Odds: 1.22 Confidence: 52% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Ind Medellin W
0
Draws
0
Once Caldas W
3
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Ind Medellin W won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ind Medellin W
Metric
Once Caldas W
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.3
Goals Against / Game
2.2
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
3-4-3
W — D — L
0-3-7
Win Rate
30%
0%
2.9
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
I0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
I1
1-0 10.7%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
I2
2-0 9.9%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
I3
3-0 6.1%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
I4
4-0 2.8%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
I5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.7%) 2-0(9.9%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip I=Home goals ↓   O=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ind Medellin W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Once Caldas W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ind Medellin W
Overall
4.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.7
Once Caldas W
Overall
0.9
Scoring
2.3
Defence
2.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 32%
Draw & BTTS No 22%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 38%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.05.25LW
Once Caldas W0
Ind. Medellin2
18.08.19LW
Ind. Medellin W1
Once Caldas0
20.07.19LW
Once Caldas W0
Ind. Medellin6
Recent Form
Ind Medellin W
15.04.26LW
Junior W3
Ind. Medellin W2
L
31.03.26LW
Ind. Medellin W3
Dep. Pasto W1
W
25.03.26LW
Inter Bogotá W1
Ind. Medellin W0
L
15.03.26LW
Ind. Medellin W2
Llaneros W1
W
10.03.26LW
Inter Palmira W0
Ind. Medellin W0
D
01.03.26LW
Ind. Medellin W3
Real Santander W0
W
14.02.26LW
Dep. Cali W3
Ind. Medellin W1
L
28.08.25LW
Ind. Medellin W1
Inter Palmira W1
D
23.08.25LW
Orsomarso W2
Ind. Medellin W2
D
20.08.25LW
Dep. Cali W1
Ind. Medellin W1
D
Once Caldas W
15.04.26LW
Once Caldas W0
Dep. Cali W2
L
30.03.26LW
Inter Bogotá W2
Once Caldas W1
L
22.03.26LW
Once Caldas W1
America de Cali W2
L
17.03.26LW
Millonarios W3
Once Caldas W0
L
10.03.26LW
Once Caldas W1
Junior W2
L
28.02.26LW
Fortaleza W0
Once Caldas W0
D
15.02.26LW
Once Caldas W0
Santa Fe W3
L
21.06.25LW
Millonarios W4
Once Caldas W0
L
15.06.25LW
Once Caldas W2
America de Cali W2
D
11.06.25LW
Dep. Pasto W2
Once Caldas W2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Colombia Liga Women fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.22 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ind Medellin W vs Once Caldas W?
Our selection is 1 — Ind Medellin W to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 52%.
What is Ind Medellin W's current form?
Ind Medellin W have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Once Caldas W been performing recently?
Once Caldas W have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ind Medellin W lead with 3 wins versus Once Caldas W's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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