WON Tip WON East Bengal 7-0 Mohammedan
E

East Bengal

Home
D D L W W
3W 4D 3L → Steady
VS
7-0
M
Mohammedan
Away
L L L L L
2W 1D 7L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 23rd March 2026
1
Backing East Bengal to win
East Bengal 50%
Draw 30%
Mohammedan 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 84.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -43.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — East Bengal to win
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
East Bengal vs Mohammedan Competition: India ISL Date: Monday, 23rd March 2026 Pick: 1 (East Bengal to win) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 41% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
4
East Bengal
5
Draws
1
Mohammedan
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
90%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Against Tip East Bengal won 4 of the last 10 meetings (5 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
East Bengal
Metric
Mohammedan
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
3-4-3
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
30%
20%
2.9
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
E0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 6.3%
0-2 3.6%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
E1
1-0 9.6%
1-1 11.1%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
E2
2-0 8.4%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
E3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
E4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
E5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.7%) 1-0(9.6%) 2-0(8.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip E=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
East Bengal Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Mohammedan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
East Bengal
Overall
4.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.3
Mohammedan
Overall
2.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
16.02.25
ISL: Mohammedan1
East Bengal3
09.11.24
ISL: East Bengal0
Mohammedan0
20.09.24
CPD: Mohammedan2
East Bengal2
01.11.22
CPD: East Bengal1
Mohammedan1
26.09.19
CPD: East Bengal3
Mohammedan2
11.09.18
CPD: East Bengal1
Mohammedan2
16.09.17
CPD: East Bengal2
Mohammedan2
05.04.14
IL: Mohammedan1
East Bengal3
11.03.14
IL: East Bengal2
Mohammedan1
28.02.09
IL: East Bengal2
Mohammedan2
Recent Form
East Bengal
14.03.26
ISL: East Bengal1
Kerala Blasters1
D
05.03.26
ISL: East Bengal0
Goa0
D
27.02.26
ISL: East Bengal1
Jamshedpur2
L
21.02.26
ISL: East Bengal4
SC Delhi1
W
16.02.26
ISL: East Bengal3
North East Utd0
W
07.12.25
HSC: East Bengal0
Goa1
L
04.12.25
HSC: East Bengal3
Punjab1
W
31.10.25
HSC: Mohun Bagan0
East Bengal0
D
28.10.25
HSC: Chennaiyin0
East Bengal4
W
25.10.25
HSC: East Bengal2
Dempo2
D
Mohammedan
07.03.26
ISL: Mohammedan1
BEN2
L
28.02.26
ISL: MBG5
Mohammedan1
L
20.02.26
ISL: Mohammedan0
GOA2
L
15.02.26
ISL: JAM1
Mohammedan0
L
05.11.25
HSC: GOK3
Mohammedan0
L
02.11.25
HSC: Mohammedan0
PUN3
L
30.10.25
HSC: BEN2
Mohammedan0
L
13.09.25
CPD: Mohammedan6
RAI1
W
10.09.25
CPD: SOU0
Mohammedan3
W
05.09.25
CPD: UNK1
Mohammedan1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 23rd March 2026, East Bengal host Mohammedan in India ISL. We recommend East Bengal to win as the standout selection.

East Bengal arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Mohammedan are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour East Bengal, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Mohammedan's 1, with 5 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 90% of those meetings.

Our verdict: east bengal to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming India ISL fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.18 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for East Bengal vs Mohammedan?
Our selection is 1 — East Bengal to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 41%.
What is East Bengal's current form?
East Bengal have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mohammedan been performing recently?
Mohammedan have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
East Bengal lead with 4 wins versus Mohammedan's 1, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.
⚠️
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