WON Tip WON Inter Milan 3-0 Cagliari
I

Inter Milan

Home
W W D D L
4W 3D 3L → Steady
VS
3-0
C
Cagliari
Away
W L L L L
2W 2D 6L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 17th April 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 87% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -2% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
8
Inter Milan
2
Draws
0
Cagliari
10
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Inter Milan
Metric
Cagliari
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.3
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-3-3
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
40%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
I0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 8.2%
0-2 4.5%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
I1
1-0 11.1%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 6.7%
1-3 2.5%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
I2
2-0 8.4%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 5.1%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
I3
3-0 4.2%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
I4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
I5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(12.3%) 1-0(11.1%) 2-1(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip I=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Inter Milan
Overall
4.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.7
Cagliari
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
27.09.25Serie A
Cagliari0
Inter2
12.04.25Serie A
Inter3
Cagliari1
28.12.24Serie A
Cagliari0
Inter3
14.04.24Serie A
Inter2
Cagliari2
28.08.23Serie A
Cagliari0
Inter2
15.05.22Serie A
Cagliari1
Inter3
12.12.21Serie A
Inter4
Cagliari0
11.04.21Serie A
Inter1
Cagliari0
13.12.20Serie A
Cagliari1
Inter3
26.01.20Serie A
Inter1
Cagliari1
Recent Form
Inter Milan
12.04.26Serie A
Como3
Inter Milan4
W
05.04.26Serie A
Inter Milan5
AS Roma2
W
22.03.26Serie A
Fiorentina1
Inter Milan1
D
14.03.26Serie A
Inter Milan1
Atalanta1
D
08.03.26Serie A
AC Milan1
Inter Milan0
L
03.03.26Coppa Italia
Como0
Inter Milan0
D
28.02.26Serie A
Inter Milan2
Genoa0
W
24.02.26Champions League
Inter Milan1
Bodo/Glimt2
L
21.02.26Serie A
Lecce0
Inter Milan2
W
18.02.26Champions League
Bodo/Glimt3
Inter Milan1
L
Cagliari
11.04.26Serie A
Cagliari1
Cremonese0
W
04.04.26Serie A
Sassuolo2
Cagliari1
L
20.03.26Serie A
Cagliari0
Napoli1
L
15.03.26Serie A
Pisa3
Cagliari1
L
07.03.26Serie A
Cagliari1
Como2
L
27.02.26Serie A
Parma1
Cagliari1
D
21.02.26Serie A
Cagliari0
Lazio0
D
16.02.26Serie A
Cagliari0
Lecce2
L
09.02.26Serie A
AS Roma2
Cagliari0
L
31.01.26Serie A
Cagliari4
Verona0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Serie A fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 1.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.15 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Inter Milan vs Cagliari?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 85%.
What is Inter Milan's current form?
Inter Milan have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cagliari been performing recently?
Cagliari have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Inter Milan lead with 8 wins versus Cagliari's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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