Moderate Signal 63% Confidence
F

Ferencvaros

Home
W W W W W
6W 3D 1L → Steady
VS
4:45 pm
Groupama Arena (Budapest)
U
Ujpest
Away
W L D W W
4W 4D 2L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 6th September 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 73.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -10.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.36
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ferencvaros vs Ujpest Date: Sunday, 6th September 2026 KO: 4:45 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 63% Also: Ferencvaros Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
8
Ferencvaros
2
Draws
0
Ujpest
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Over 2.5 in 50% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ferencvaros
Metric
Ujpest
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.8
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.3
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-3-1
W — D — L
4-4-2
Win Rate
60%
40%
2.7
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
F0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 8.5%
0-2 5.1%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
F1
1-0 10.2%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
F2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
F3
3-0 3.6%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
F4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(12.3%) 1-0(10.2%) 2-1(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   U=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ferencvaros
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
8.0
Ujpest
Overall
5.2
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.05.26NBI
Ujpest0
Ferencvaros5
07.02.26NBI
Ferencvaros3
Ujpest0
19.10.25NBI
Ujpest1
Ferencvaros1
06.04.25NBI
Ferencvaros2
Ujpest0
02.04.25HC
Ferencvaros3
Ujpest1
01.12.24NBI
Ujpest0
Ferencvaros0
17.08.24NBI
Ferencvaros1
Ujpest0
19.05.24NBI
Ferencvaros2
Ujpest0
25.02.24NBI
Ujpest0
Ferencvaros5
29.10.23NBI
Ferencvaros3
Ujpest0
Recent Form
Ferencvaros
03.09.26NBI
Gyor0
Ferencvaros3
W
30.08.26NBI
Puskas Academy1
Ferencvaros2
W
27.08.26EL
Ferencvaros4
Trabzonspor0
W
20.08.26EL
Trabzonspor0
Ferencvaros1
W
17.08.26NBI
Zalaegerszegi0
Ferencvaros1
W
13.08.26EL
Gornik Zabrze1
Ferencvaros1
D
08.08.26CF
Ferencvaros1
Real Madrid2
L
05.08.26EL
Ferencvaros1
Gornik Zabrze0
W
02.08.26NBI
Ferencvaros0
Vasas0
D
30.07.26EL
Ferencvaros2
Twente2
D
Ujpest
29.08.26NBI
Ujpest3
Vasas1
W
21.08.26NBI
Paks2
Ujpest0
L
15.08.26NBI
Ujpest1
MTK Budapest1
D
08.08.26NBI
Kisvarda2
Ujpest4
W
02.08.26NBI
Ujpest4
Debrecen2
W
24.07.26NBI
Nyiregyhaza2
Ujpest1
L
18.07.26CF
Ujpest2
Radnik Bijeljina0
W
11.07.26CF
DVTK2
Ujpest2
D
04.07.26CF
Hartberg1
Ujpest1
D
27.06.26CF
Ujpest0
U. Cluj0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Unknown League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 5 wins from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Groupama Arena (Budapest). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward Over 2.5 at @1.36, which our model rates near close to 79. The fixture starts at 4:45 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ferencvaros vs Ujpest?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Ferencvaros's current form?
Ferencvaros have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ujpest been performing recently?
Ujpest have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ferencvaros lead with 8 wins versus Ujpest's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
⚠️
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