Moderate Signal 46% Confidence
M

Molde

Home
W W W L D
4W 2D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
4:00 pm
Aker Stadion (Molde)
K
KFUM Oslo
Away
L W D W W
3W 1D 6L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 6th September 2026
1
Backing Molde to win
Implied Prob 69.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -23.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Molde to win
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Molde vs KFUM Oslo Date: Sunday, 6th September 2026 KO: 4:00 pm Pick: 1 (Molde to win) Odds: 1.43 Confidence: 46% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (75%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Molde
2
Draws
2
KFUM Oslo
7
Meetings
3.9
Avg Goals
86%
BTTS
71%
Over 2.5
Neutral Molde won 3 of the last 7 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Molde
Metric
KFUM Oslo
3.1
Goals For / Game
1.3
2.2
Goals Against / Game
2.1
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-2-4
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
40%
30%
4.4
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
M0
0-0 1.3%
0-1 2.3%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.2%
M1
1-0 3.4%
1-1 5.9%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.5%
M2
2-0 4.4%
2-1 7.6%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.9%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.6%
M3
3-0 3.8%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 5.8%
3-3 3.4%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.5%
M4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 4.3%
4-2 3.8%
4-3 2.2%
4-4 1.0%
4-5 0.3%
M5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 2.2%
5-2 2.0%
5-3 1.1%
5-4 0.5%
5-5 0.2%
Top Scores 2-1(7.6%) 3-1(6.6%) 3-2(5.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Molde
Overall
4.6
Scoring
10.0
Defence
2.7
KFUM Oslo
Overall
3.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
3.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.07.26ELI
KFUM Oslo2
Molde4
21.06.26CF
Molde5
KFUM Oslo1
17.08.25ELI
KFUM Oslo0
Molde0
29.06.25ELI
Molde2
KFUM Oslo3
23.09.24ELI
KFUM Oslo1
Molde1
20.07.24ELI
Molde2
KFUM Oslo3
01.06.17NMC
KFUM Oslo1
Molde2
Recent Form
Molde
30.08.26ELI
Valerenga3
Molde4
W
22.08.26NMC
Midsund0
Molde11
W
16.08.26ELI
Molde3
Tromso2
W
09.08.26ELI
Kristiansund2
Molde1
L
02.08.26ELI
Molde3
Sarpsborg 083
D
26.07.26ELI
KFUM Oslo2
Molde4
W
18.07.26ELI
Molde1
Brann2
L
11.07.26ELI
Aalesund2
Molde2
D
05.07.26CF
Rosenborg2
Molde1
L
28.06.26CF
Molde1
Bodo/Glimt4
L
KFUM Oslo
30.08.26ELI
Start4
KFUM Oslo1
L
22.08.26NMC
Ready0
KFUM Oslo4
W
15.08.26ELI
KFUM Oslo1
Lillestrom1
D
07.08.26ELI
Sandefjord0
KFUM Oslo1
W
02.08.26ELI
KFUM Oslo2
Kristiansund1
W
26.07.26ELI
KFUM Oslo2
Molde4
L
18.07.26ELI
Lillestrom2
KFUM Oslo1
L
12.07.26ELI
KFUM Oslo0
Bodo/Glimt2
L
04.07.26CF
Vendsyssel2
KFUM Oslo0
L
21.06.26CF
Molde5
KFUM Oslo1
L
Molde (Home)
16.08.26ELI
Molde3
Tromso2
W
02.08.26ELI
Molde3
Sarpsborg 083
D
18.07.26ELI
Molde1
Brann2
L
28.06.26CF
Molde1
Bodo/Glimt4
L
21.06.26CF
Molde5
KFUM Oslo1
W
30.05.26ELI
Molde2
Sandefjord1
W
16.05.26ELI
Molde1
Kristiansund0
W
26.04.26ELI
Molde5
Valerenga1
W
12.04.26ELI
Molde4
HamKam1
W
06.04.26ELI
Molde0
Lillestrom1
L
KFUM Oslo (Away)
30.08.26ELI
Start4
KFUM Oslo1
L
22.08.26NMC
Ready0
KFUM Oslo4
W
07.08.26ELI
Sandefjord0
KFUM Oslo1
W
18.07.26ELI
Lillestrom2
KFUM Oslo1
L
04.07.26CF
Vendsyssel2
KFUM Oslo0
L
21.06.26CF
Molde5
KFUM Oslo1
L
16.05.26ELI
Brann2
KFUM Oslo1
L
03.05.26ELI
Valerenga2
KFUM Oslo2
D
22.04.26NMC
Bodo/Glimt2
KFUM Oslo1
L
19.04.26ELI
HamKam4
KFUM Oslo0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Unknown League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Aker Stadion (Molde). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.43, which our model rates near 53%. The fixture starts at 4:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Molde vs KFUM Oslo?
Our selection is 1 — Molde to win, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 46%.
What is Molde's current form?
Molde have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has KFUM Oslo been performing recently?
KFUM Oslo have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Molde lead with 3 wins versus KFUM Oslo's 2, with 2 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 86%.
⚠️
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