LOST Tip LOST Finn Harps 0-0 Cork City
F

Finn Harps

Home
W L D D D
3W 3D 4L → Steady
VS
0-0
C
Cork City
Away
W W W D W
8W 2D 0L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 3rd April 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 85.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -10.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Finn Harps
4
Draws
5
Cork City
10
Meetings
1.9
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 60% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Finn Harps
Metric
Cork City
1.2
Goals For / Game
2.2
1.3
Goals Against / Game
0.7
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-3-4
W — D — L
8-2-0
Win Rate
30%
80%
2.7
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
F0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 11.8%
0-2 10.3%
0-3 6.0%
0-4 2.6%
0-5 0.9%
F1
1-0 6.4%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 9.8%
1-3 5.7%
1-4 2.5%
1-5 0.9%
F2
2-0 3.0%
2-1 5.3%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
F3
3-0 1.0%
3-1 1.7%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
F4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(11.8%) 1-1(11.2%) 0-2(10.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Finn Harps
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.7
Cork City
Overall
8.6
Scoring
7.3
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 10%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 32%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.09.25
FAI Cup: Finn Harps0
Cork City3
20.09.24
First Division: Cork City2
Finn Harps2
20.07.24
FAI Cup: Cork City1
Finn Harps0
12.07.24
First Division: Cork City1
Finn Harps0
26.04.24
First Division: Finn Harps0
Cork City2
23.02.24
First Division: Finn Harps1
Cork City1
29.01.22
Friendly: Cork City1
Finn Harps1
13.03.21
Friendly: Cork City0
Finn Harps1
27.09.20
Premier Division: Finn Harps1
Cork City1
28.02.20
Premier Division: Cork City1
Finn Harps0
Recent Form
Finn Harps
28.03.26
DIV: Longford Town0
Finn Harps1
W
20.03.26
DIV: Kerry FC1
Finn Harps0
L
13.03.26
DIV: Finn Harps2
Treaty United2
D
06.03.26
DIV: Finn Harps1
Wexford FC1
D
27.02.26
DIV: Cobh Ramblers1
Finn Harps1
D
20.02.26
DIV: Finn Harps2
UCD1
W
13.02.26
DIV: Athlone Town2
Finn Harps1
L
31.01.26
Friendly: Sligo Rovers1
Finn Harps0
L
13.01.26
Friendly: Finn Harps1
Sligo Rovers0
W
17.10.25
DIV: Finn Harps3
UCD4
L
Cork City
27.03.26
DIV: Cork City4
Athlone Town1
W
20.03.26
DIV: UCD0
Cork City1
W
13.03.26
DIV: Cork City2
Longford Town1
W
06.03.26
DIV: Cobh Ramblers1
Cork City1
D
27.02.26
DIV: Cork City1
Bray Wanderers0
W
20.02.26
DIV: Wexford FC1
Cork City4
W
13.02.26
DIV: Cork City1
Treaty United0
W
04.02.26
Friendly: Cork City4
Kerry FC1
W
29.01.26
Friendly: Cork City3
Galway United1
W
23.01.26
Friendly: St. Patrick’s1
Cork City1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Ireland Division 1 fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 1.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.17 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Finn Harps vs Cork City?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 75%.
What is Finn Harps's current form?
Finn Harps have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cork City been performing recently?
Cork City have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Finn Harps lead with 1 wins versus Cork City's 5, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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