WON Tip WON Flamengo SP 1-0 Paulinia FU
F

Flamengo SP

Home 5W 4D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
1-0
P
Paulinia FU
Away 2W 1D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 13th June 2026
1
Backing Flamengo SP to win
Flamengo SP 50%
Draw 30%
Paulinia FU 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 70.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -29.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
0
Flamengo SP
1
Draws
0
Paulinia FU
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Flamengo SP won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Flamengo SP
Metric
Paulinia FU
1.2
Goals For / Game
1
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.5
40%
Clean Sheets
25%
5-4-1
W — D — L
2-1-5
Win Rate
50%
25%
2.2
Avg Goals
67%
Over 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
F0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 9.4%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 15.0%
1-1 12.7%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
F2
2-0 10.1%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 3.7%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 4.5%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.0%) 2-0(10.1%) 2-1(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Flamengo SP Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Paulinia FU Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Flamengo SP
Overall
6.2
Scoring
4.0
Defence
7.7
Paulinia FU
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.0
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Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
10.05.26PAU
Paulinia FU2
Flamengo SP2
Recent Form
Flamengo SP
07.06.26PAU
Paulinense0
Flamengo SP1
W
31.05.26PAU
Guarulhos1
Flamengo SP0
L
23.05.26PAU
Flamengo SP2
Votoraty SP1
W
16.05.26PAU
Flamengo SP2
Audax-SP1
W
10.05.26PAU
Paulinia FU2
Flamengo SP2
D
02.05.26PAU
Flamengo SP1
Paulinense0
W
25.04.26PAU
Flamengo SP2
Guarulhos0
W
18.04.26PAU
Votoraty SP1
Flamengo SP1
D
21.06.25PAU
Flamengo SP0
Guarulhos0
D
15.06.25PAU
Batatais1
Flamengo SP1
D
Paulinia FU
05.06.26PAU
Guarulhos1
Paulinia FU0
L
31.05.26PAU
Paulinia FU1
Audax-SP3
L
24.05.26PAU
Paulinense1
Paulinia FU0
L
15.05.26PAU
Votoraty SP3
Paulinia FU0
L
10.05.26PAU
Paulinia FU2
Flamengo SP2
D
03.05.26PAU
Paulinia FU3
Guarulhos0
W
26.04.26PAU
Audax-SP2
Paulinia FU0
L
19.04.26PAU
Paulinia FU2
Paulinense0
W
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 13th June 2026, Flamengo SP host Paulinia FU in Brazil Paulista B. We recommend Flamengo SP to win as the standout selection.

Flamengo SP arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Paulinia FU are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 5L across 8 matches.

Historical meetings favour Flamengo SP, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Paulinia FU's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: flamengo sp to win at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Brazil Paulista B fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.42 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Flamengo SP vs Paulinia FU?
Our selection is 1 — Flamengo SP to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 41%.
What is Flamengo SP's current form?
Flamengo SP have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Paulinia FU been performing recently?
Paulinia FU have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 8 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Flamengo SP lead with 0 wins versus Paulinia FU's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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