Strong Signal 66% Confidence
H

HB Torshavn

Home
W W W L L
6W 0D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
3:00 pm
Gundadalur (Torshavn)
0
07 Vestur Sorvagur
Away
L W L L W
3W 0D 7L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 23rd August 2026
1
Backing HB Torshavn to win
Implied Prob 69% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — HB Torshavn to win
1.45
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur Competition: Faroe Islands PL Date: Sunday, 23rd August 2026 KO: 3:00 pm Pick: 1 (HB Torshavn to win) Odds: 1.45 Confidence: 66% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
10
HB Torshavn
0
Draws
0
07 Vestur Sorvagur
10
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip HB Torshavn won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
HB Torshavn
Metric
07 Vestur Sorvagur
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.5
Goals Against / Game
2.2
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-0-4
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate
60%
30%
3.5
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
00
01
02
03
04
05
H0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 4.4%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
H1
1-0 6.5%
1-1 9.1%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
H2
2-0 6.7%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
H3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
H4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.3%) 2-0(6.7%) 1-0(6.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   0=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
HB Torshavn
Overall
6.0
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.0
07 Vestur Sorvagur
Overall
3.0
Scoring
4.3
Defence
2.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.07.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
HB Torshavn4
15.03.26PL
HB Torshavn2
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
17.08.25PL
HB Torshavn3
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
22.06.25PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
HB Torshavn2
16.03.25PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
HB Torshavn2
05.10.24PL
HB Torshavn1
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
15.06.24PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
HB Torshavn4
29.04.24PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
HB Torshavn3
22.10.23PL
HB Torshavn2
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
04.10.23CUP
HB Torshavn2
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
Recent Form
HB Torshavn
16.08.26PL
HB Torshavn2
Toftir0
W
10.08.26PL
Klaksvik0
HB Torshavn2
W
03.08.26PL
HB Torshavn3
NSI Runavik1
W
30.07.26UECL
HB Torshavn0
Motherwell3
L
23.07.26UECL
Motherwell2
HB Torshavn0
L
05.07.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
HB Torshavn4
W
29.06.26PL
HB Torshavn4
Skala Itrottarfelag1
W
25.06.26CUP
Vikingur4
HB Torshavn0
L
21.06.26PL
B36 Torshavn0
HB Torshavn3
W
14.06.26PL
AB Argir3
HB Torshavn1
L
07 Vestur Sorvagur
16.08.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
B36 Torshavn2
L
07.08.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur3
Streymur2
W
02.08.26PL
Toftir2
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
L
05.07.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
HB Torshavn4
L
28.06.26PL
Klaksvik0
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
W
21.06.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur2
AB Argir0
W
13.06.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur2
Vikingur3
L
29.05.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag2
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
L
25.05.26PL
B36 Torshavn1
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
L
17.05.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
NSI Runavik6
L
HB Torshavn (Home)
16.08.26PL
HB Torshavn2
Toftir0
W
03.08.26PL
HB Torshavn3
NSI Runavik1
W
30.07.26UECL
HB Torshavn0
Motherwell3
L
29.06.26PL
HB Torshavn4
Skala Itrottarfelag1
W
30.05.26PL
HB Torshavn0
Vikingur0
D
18.05.26PL
HB Torshavn3
Streymur4
L
14.05.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Vikingur1
W
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
D
29.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn3
B36 Torshavn1
W
26.04.26PL
HB Torshavn0
Klaksvik2
L
07 Vestur Sorvagur (Away)
02.08.26PL
Toftir2
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
L
28.06.26PL
Klaksvik0
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
W
29.05.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag2
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
L
25.05.26PL
B36 Torshavn1
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
L
04.05.26PL
Vikingur0
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
D
26.04.26PL
Streymur0
07 Vestur Sorvagur2
W
12.04.26PL
NSI Runavik2
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
L
06.04.26PL
AB Argir2
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
L
15.03.26PL
HB Torshavn2
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
L
19.10.25PL
Toftir1
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Faroe Islands PL match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Gundadalur (Torshavn). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.45, which our model rates near 49%. The fixture starts at 3:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur?
Our selection is 1 — HB Torshavn to win, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is HB Torshavn's current form?
HB Torshavn have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has 07 Vestur Sorvagur been performing recently?
07 Vestur Sorvagur have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
HB Torshavn lead with 10 wins versus 07 Vestur Sorvagur's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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