Moderate Signal 61% Confidence
Y

Young Boys

Home
W D W W W
7W 3D 0L ▼ Declining
VS
1:00 pm
Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)
V
Vaduz
Away
D L L L W
4W 1D 5L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 23rd August 2026
1
Backing Young Boys to win
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -13.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Young Boys to win
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Young Boys vs Vaduz Competition: Swiss Super League Date: Sunday, 23rd August 2026 KO: 1:00 pm Pick: 1 (Young Boys to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 61% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Young Boys
3
Draws
2
Vaduz
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Neutral Young Boys won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Young Boys
Metric
Vaduz
3.9
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.4
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-3-0
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
70%
40%
4.2
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
Y0
0-0 1.6%
0-1 2.4%
0-2 1.8%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
Y1
1-0 4.2%
1-1 6.3%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.3%
Y2
2-0 5.5%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
Y3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 7.3%
3-2 5.5%
3-3 2.8%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.3%
Y4
4-0 3.2%
4-1 4.9%
4-2 3.6%
4-3 1.8%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.2%
Y5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 2.6%
5-2 1.9%
5-3 1.0%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(8.3%) 3-1(7.3%) 2-0(5.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip Y=Home goals ↓   V=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Young Boys
Overall
7.9
Scoring
10.0
Defence
5.7
Vaduz
Overall
4.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
13.01.24CF
Young Boys3
Vaduz2
14.01.23CF
Young Boys0
Vaduz0
11.05.21SL
Vaduz0
Young Boys2
06.03.21SL
Young Boys1
Vaduz1
24.01.21SL
Vaduz0
Young Boys0
04.10.20SL
Young Boys1
Vaduz0
26.06.19CF
Vaduz1
Young Boys0
08.01.18CF
Young Boys6
Vaduz1
17.05.17SL
Vaduz1
Young Boys0
02.04.17SL
Young Boys3
Vaduz2
Recent Form
Young Boys
15.08.26CUP
Liestal0
Young Boys4
W
08.08.26SL
Lausanne2
Young Boys2
D
01.08.26SL
Thun0
Young Boys6
W
26.07.26SL
Young Boys4
Sion2
W
18.07.26CF
Young Boys5
Etoile-Carouge0
W
10.07.26CF
Plzen3
Young Boys5
W
05.07.26CF
FC Kharkiv0
Young Boys2
W
01.07.26CF
A. Lustenau0
Young Boys0
D
17.05.26SL
Young Boys3
Sion3
D
14.05.26SL
Thun3
Young Boys8
W
Vaduz
13.08.26UECL
Vaduz2
Inter Turku2
D
09.08.26SL
Sion3
Vaduz2
L
06.08.26UECL
Inter Turku2
Vaduz1
L
02.08.26SL
Vaduz2
St. Gallen3
L
30.07.26UECL
Atletic Escaldes0
Vaduz2
W
26.07.26SL
Lugano2
Vaduz1
L
23.07.26UECL
Vaduz4
Atletic Escaldes0
W
17.07.26CF
Lugano1
Vaduz2
W
10.07.26CF
Altach1
Vaduz0
L
04.07.26CF
Vaduz1
A. Lustenau0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Swiss Super League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Stadion Wankdorf (Bern). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.34, which our model rates near 62%. The fixture starts at 1:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Young Boys vs Vaduz?
Our selection is 1 — Young Boys to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Young Boys's current form?
Young Boys have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Vaduz been performing recently?
Vaduz have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Young Boys lead with 5 wins versus Vaduz's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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