LOST Tip LOST Kalju 1-2 Parnu JK Vaprus
K

Kalju

Home
W L D W W
7W 2D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
1-2
P
Parnu JK Vaprus
Away
W D L L L
3W 1D 6L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 26th April 2026
1
Backing Kalju to win
Kalju 50%
Draw 30%
Parnu JK Vaprus 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 79.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -18.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Kalju to win
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus Competition: Estonia Meistriliiga Date: Sunday, 26th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Kalju to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 61% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Kalju
2
Draws
1
Parnu JK Vaprus
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Kalju won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kalju
Metric
Parnu JK Vaprus
2.3
Goals For / Game
0.9
1
Goals Against / Game
2
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-2-1
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
70%
30%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
K0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
K1
1-0 9.7%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 4.4%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
K2
2-0 10.4%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
K3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 7.1%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
K4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 3.8%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 1.6%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(10.4%) 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kalju Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Parnu JK Vaprus Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Kalju
Overall
7.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.7
Parnu JK Vaprus
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.0
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.10.25ML
Kalju1
Parnu JK Vaprus0
10.08.25ML
Kalju1
Parnu JK Vaprus2
27.06.25ML
Parnu JK Vaprus2
Kalju2
01.03.25ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Kalju3
24.01.25CF
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Kalju3
09.11.24ML
Kalju2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
15.09.24ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Kalju4
03.07.24ML
Kalju4
Parnu JK Vaprus2
30.03.24ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Kalju2
07.10.23ML
Kalju1
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Recent Form
Kalju
05.10.25ML
Kalju1
Parnu JK Vaprus0
W
10.08.25ML
Kalju1
Parnu JK Vaprus2
L
27.06.25ML
Parnu JK Vaprus2
Kalju2
D
01.03.25ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Kalju3
L
24.01.25CF
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Kalju3
L
09.11.24ML
Kalju2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
W
15.09.24ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Kalju4
L
03.07.24ML
Kalju4
Parnu JK Vaprus2
W
30.03.24ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Kalju2
L
07.10.23ML
Kalju1
Parnu JK Vaprus1
D
Parnu JK Vaprus
21.04.26ML
Kuressaare0
Parnu JK Vaprus1
W
18.04.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Tammeka0
D
12.04.26ML
Flora2
Parnu JK Vaprus0
L
08.04.26ML
Levadia2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
L
04.04.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Harju JK Laagri2
L
21.03.26ML
Narva2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
L
14.03.26ML
Nomme Utd7
Parnu JK Vaprus1
L
10.03.26CUP
Parnu JK Vaprus2
Tartu Welco1
W
07.03.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus3
Paide2
W
15.02.26CF
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Narva2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Estonia Meistriliiga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.26 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
Our selection is 1 — Kalju to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Kalju's current form?
Kalju have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Parnu JK Vaprus been performing recently?
Parnu JK Vaprus have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kalju lead with 7 wins versus Parnu JK Vaprus's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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