WON Tip WON Kiryat Yam 2-0 Hapoel Kfar Saba
K

Kiryat Yam

Home
W W L W L
4W 1D 5L ▼ Declining
VS
2-0
5:00 pm
N/A
H
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Away
L L W L W
2W 3D 5L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 1st October 2026
1X
Backing Kiryat Yam to win or draw
Implied Prob 83.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -5.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Kiryat Yam to win or draw
1.20
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Kiryat Yam vs Hapoel Kfar Saba Competition: Israel Leumit League Date: Thursday, 1st October 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1X (Kiryat Yam to win or draw) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 78% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
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Head to Head
Record
3
Kiryat Yam
0
Draws
0
Hapoel Kfar Saba
3
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Kiryat Yam
Metric
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.7
Goals Against / Game
2.2
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-1-5
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
40%
20%
3.7
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
K0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 3.7%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.2%
K1
1-0 5.4%
1-1 8.2%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 3.1%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
K2
2-0 6.0%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.4%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
K3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 4.9%
3-3 2.5%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
K4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 2.7%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
K5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.6%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.0%) 1-1(8.2%) 2-2(6.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Kiryat Yam
Overall
4.3 ▼
Scoring
7.3 ▼
Defence
4.3 ▼
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Overall
2.9 ▼
Scoring
4.3 ▼
Defence
2.7 ▼
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Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
11.05.26LL
Kiryat Yam2
Hapoel Kfar Saba0
06.02.26LL
Kiryat Yam2
Hapoel Kfar Saba1
05.10.25LL
Hapoel Kfar Saba0
Kiryat Yam2
Recent Form
Kiryat Yam
24.09.26LL
M. Herzliya1
Kiryat Yam3
W
17.09.26LL
Kiryat Yam3
Ironi Modiin2
W
10.09.26LL
H. Ironi Rishon4
Kiryat Yam2
L
06.09.26LL
Kiryat Yam5
H. Akko0
W
30.08.26LL
Hapoel Kfar Shalem3
Kiryat Yam2
L
23.08.26LL
Kiryat Yam0
Maccabi Bnei Raina1
L
18.08.26LL
Maccabi Jaffa2
Kiryat Yam6
W
14.07.26CF
Kiryat Yam0
Maccabi Haifa2
L
25.05.26LL
Kiryat Yam0
Maccabi Petah Tikva0
D
20.05.26LL
Hapoel Kfar Shalem2
Kiryat Yam1
L
Hapoel Kfar Saba
28.09.26LL
Hapoel Kfar Saba1
Bnei Yehuda2
L
17.09.26LL
MS Kafr Qasim4
Hapoel Kfar Saba2
L
10.09.26LL
Hapoel Kfar Saba2
Kiryat Gat0
W
06.09.26LL
H. Raanana6
Hapoel Kfar Saba1
L
30.08.26LL
M. Herzliya0
Hapoel Kfar Saba2
W
23.08.26LL
Hapoel Kfar Saba1
Ironi Modiin4
L
18.08.26LL
H. Ironi Rishon2
Hapoel Kfar Saba0
L
17.07.26CF
Hapoel Kfar Saba2
Maccabi Jaffa2
D
25.05.26LL
Hapoel Kfar Saba1
Hap. Ramat Gan1
D
20.05.26LL
M. Herzliya1
Hapoel Kfar Saba1
D
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Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Israel Leumit League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1X at @1.20, which our model rates near 78%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kiryat Yam vs Hapoel Kfar Saba?
Our selection is 1X — Kiryat Yam to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 78%.
What is Kiryat Yam's current form?
Kiryat Yam have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hapoel Kfar Saba been performing recently?
Hapoel Kfar Saba have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kiryat Yam lead with 3 wins versus Hapoel Kfar Saba's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
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