WON Tip WON Marseille 1-0 Auxerre

Marseille

Home

W L W L D

2W 2D 1L → Steady

1-0

Auxerre

Away

D D L W D

1W 3D 1L ▲ Improving

Implied Prob 89.3% Bookie's implied odds

Our Edge -29.3% Overpriced

Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %

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Head to Head

Record

Marseille

Draws

Auxerre

Meetings

2.6

Avg Goals

40%

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

Neutral Insufficient H2H data.

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Marseille

Metric

Auxerre

1.6

Goals For / Game

1.6

Goals Against / Game

1.2

20%

Clean Sheets

40%

2-2-1

W — D — L

1-3-1

Win Rate

40%

20%

2.7

Avg Goals

70%

Over 1.5

60%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 6.7%

0-1 8.7%

0-2 5.7%

0-3 2.5%

0-4 0.8%

0-5 0.2%

1-0 9.4%

1-1 12.2%

1-2 8.0%

1-3 3.5%

1-4 1.1%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 6.6%

2-1 8.6%

2-2 5.6%

2-3 2.4%

2-4 0.8%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 3.1%

3-1 4.0%

3-2 2.6%

3-3 1.1%

3-4 0.4%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 1.1%

4-1 1.4%

4-2 0.9%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.3%

5-1 0.4%

5-2 0.3%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-1(12.2%) 1-0(9.4%) 2-1(8.6%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓ A=Away →

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Team Ratings

Grades

Marseille

Overall

5.2 —

Scoring

5.3 —

Defence

4.7 —

Auxerre

Overall

3.8 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

6.0 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%

Home Win & BTTS No 18%

Draw & BTTS Yes 23%

Draw & BTTS No 23%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%

Away Win & BTTS No 10%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 22%

Home Win & Under 2.5 14%

Draw & Over 2.5 27%

Draw & Under 2.5 18%

Away Win & Over 2.5 11%

Away Win & Under 2.5 8%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ L1 (Nov 1, 2025): Auxerre0

Marseille1

⚽ L1 (Feb 22, 2025): Auxerre3

Marseille0

⚽ L1 (Nov 8, 2024): Marseille1

Auxerre3

⚽ L1 (Apr 30, 2023): Marseille2

Auxerre1

⚽ L1 (Sep 3, 2022): Auxerre0

Marseille2

Recent Form

Marseille

⚽ L1 (Mar 7, 2026): Toulouse0

Marseille1

⚽ CDF (Mar 4, 2026): Marseille2

Toulouse (5-6)2

⚽ L1 (Mar 1, 2026): Marseille3

Lyon2

⚽ L1 (Feb 20, 2026): Brest2

Marseille0

⚽ L1 (Feb 14, 2026): Marseille2

Strasbourg2

Auxerre

⚽ L1 (Mar 7, 2026): Auxerre0

Strasbourg0

⚽ L1 (Mar 1, 2026): Lorient2

Auxerre2

⚽ L1 (Feb 22, 2026): Auxerre0

Rennes3

⚽ L1 (Feb 15, 2026): Metz1

Auxerre3

⚽ L1 (Feb 8, 2026): Auxerre0

Paris FC0

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Match Analysis

Writeup

On Friday, 13th March 2026, Marseille host Auxerre in Ligue 1. We recommend Marseille to win or draw as the standout selection.

Marseille arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Auxerre are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 1L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Marseille, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Auxerre's 2, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: marseille to win or draw at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Marseille vs Auxerre?

Our selection is 1X — Marseille to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 60%.

What is Marseille's current form?

Marseille have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has Auxerre been performing recently?

Auxerre have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Marseille lead with 3 wins versus Auxerre's 2, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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