Strong Signal 68% Confidence
M

Marupe

Home
L W L W L
6W 0D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
1:00 pm
N/A
M
Metta
Away
W W W W W
8W 1D 1L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 18th July 2026
2
Backing Metta to win
Marupe 20%
Draw 30%
Metta 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 83.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Metta to win
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Marupe vs Metta Competition: Latvia Nakotnes liga Date: Saturday, 18th July 2026 KO: 1:00 pm Pick: 2 (Metta to win) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 68% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Marupe
0
Draws
2
Metta
2
Meetings
5
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Metta won 2 of 2 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Marupe
Metric
Metta
1.7
Goals For / Game
3.5
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.1
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-0-4
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate
60%
80%
3.9
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
M0
0-0 2.1%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 6.4%
0-3 5.2%
0-4 3.2%
0-5 1.6%
M1
1-0 3.0%
1-1 7.3%
1-2 8.9%
1-3 7.3%
1-4 4.5%
1-5 2.2%
M2
2-0 2.1%
2-1 5.1%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 5.1%
2-4 3.1%
2-5 1.5%
M3
3-0 1.0%
3-1 2.4%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 2.4%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.7%
M4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.3%
M5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.9%) 1-3(7.3%) 0-2(6.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Marupe Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Metta Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Marupe
Overall
6.0
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.3
Metta
Overall
8.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 33%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 45%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
13.07.25LC
Marupe1
Metta4
08.02.24CF
Metta4
Marupe1
Recent Form
Marupe
12.07.26LC
Marupe0
Grobina1
L
04.07.26NL
Marupe2
FK Smiltene1
W
27.06.26NL
Riga Mariners2
Marupe0
L
19.06.26LC
Marupe4
Aliance (AET)2
W
14.06.26NL
Marupe1
JFK Ventspils2
L
30.05.26LC
JFC Viola1
Marupe2
W
23.05.26NL
Marupe1
RFS 24
L
17.05.26NL
Riga FC 20
Marupe4
W
09.05.26NL
Tukums 2000 21
Marupe2
W
02.05.26NL
Super Nova 20
Marupe1
W
Metta
10.07.26LC
Metta3
Speks1
W
04.07.26NL
Metta3
Skanste1
W
28.06.26NL
Leevon PPK1
Metta3
W
20.06.26LC
Metta5
Kekava-Auda0
W
13.06.26NL
Metta7
Super Nova 23
W
31.05.26LC
Lielupe0
Metta6
W
23.05.26NL
Riga Mariners2
Metta2
D
16.05.26NL
Metta4
Alberts JDFS1
W
09.05.26NL
JFK Ventspils0
Metta1
W
02.05.26NL
Metta1
Valmiera2
L
Marupe (Home)
12.07.26LC
Marupe0
Grobina1
L
04.07.26NL
Marupe2
FK Smiltene1
W
19.06.26LC
Marupe4
Aliance (AET)2
W
14.06.26NL
Marupe1
JFK Ventspils2
L
23.05.26NL
Marupe1
RFS 24
L
18.04.26NL
Marupe2
Valmiera3
L
04.04.26NL
Marupe4
Skanste0
W
22.03.26NL
Marupe4
Rezekne0
W
08.11.25NL
Marupe0
Ogre United1
L
25.10.25NL
Marupe5
AFA Olaine1
W
Metta (Away)
28.06.26NL
Leevon PPK1
Metta3
W
31.05.26LC
Lielupe0
Metta6
W
23.05.26NL
Riga Mariners2
Metta2
D
09.05.26NL
JFK Ventspils0
Metta1
W
11.04.26NL
RFS 20
Metta3
W
21.03.26NL
Tukums 2000 21
Metta3
W
21.02.26CF
Tartu Welco0
Metta4
W
07.02.26CF
FK Panevezys2
Metta1
L
04.02.26CF
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Metta3
W
31.01.26CF
Paide2
Metta1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 18th July 2026, Marupe host Metta at N/A in Latvia Nakotnes liga. We recommend Metta to win as the standout selection.

Marupe arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Metta are travelling well, with a record of 8W 1D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Marupe, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Metta's 2, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: metta to win at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Latvia Nakotnes liga match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 5 wins from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 2 at @1.20, which our model rates near 20,30,50%. The fixture starts at 1:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Marupe vs Metta?
Our selection is 2 — Metta to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Marupe's current form?
Marupe have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Metta been performing recently?
Metta have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Marupe lead with 0 wins versus Metta's 2, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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