WON Tip WON Monastir 2-0 AS Gabes
M

Monastir

Home
L L D D W
3W 3D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
2-0
A
AS Gabes
Away
D L L L L
1W 3D 6L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 29th April 2026
1
Backing Monastir to win
Monastir 50%
Draw 30%
AS Gabes 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -32.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Monastir to win
1.31
Under 2.5 Goals85% BTTS — No85% Monastir Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Monastir vs AS Gabes Competition: Tunisia League Date: Wednesday, 29th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Monastir to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 44% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — No (85%) Also: Monastir Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Monastir
3
Draws
2
AS Gabes
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Neutral Monastir won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Monastir
Metric
AS Gabes
0.6
Goals For / Game
0.4
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.3
60%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-3-4
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
30%
10%
1.5
Avg Goals
40%
Over 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
15%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
M0
0-0 22.3%
0-1 12.3%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
M1
1-0 21.2%
1-1 11.7%
1-2 3.2%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
M2
2-0 10.1%
2-1 5.5%
2-2 1.5%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
M3
3-0 3.2%
3-1 1.8%
3-2 0.5%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
M4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(21.2%) 2-0(10.1%) 2-1(5.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Monastir Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
AS Gabes Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Monastir
Overall
3.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
7.7
AS Gabes
Overall
1.9
Scoring
1.3
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 37%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 2%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 6%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 37%
Away Win & Over 2.5 2%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.11.25LP1
AS Gabes1
Monastir1
09.02.25LP1
Monastir5
AS Gabes0
29.09.24LP1
AS Gabes0
Monastir0
19.05.24CUP
Monastir2
AS Gabes0
18.05.19LP1
Monastir3
AS Gabes1
28.11.18LP1
AS Gabes0
Monastir0
15.04.18LP1
Monastir1
AS Gabes2
21.11.17LP1
AS Gabes0
Monastir2
18.02.15LP1
AS Gabes2
Monastir0
20.08.14LP1
Monastir1
AS Gabes0
Recent Form
Monastir
25.04.26LP1
Ben Guerdane2
Monastir0
L
19.04.26CUP
Monastir1
Zarzis (0 - 0)2
L
11.04.26LP1
Monastir0
Club Africain0
D
04.04.26LP1
JS Omrane0
Monastir0
D
22.03.26CUP
Monastir1
Club Africain0
W
07.03.26LP1
Monastir0
CS Sfaxien2
L
28.02.26LP1
CA Bizertin0
Monastir0
D
15.02.26LP1
Monastir3
Zarzis0
W
07.02.26LP1
Etoile Sahel1
Monastir0
L
01.02.26LP1
Monastir1
AS Marsa0
W
AS Gabes
25.04.26LP1
AS Gabes1
Metlaoui1
D
10.04.26LP1
AS Gabes0
Ben Guerdane1
L
05.04.26LP1
Club Africain2
AS Gabes0
L
22.03.26CUP
Metlaoui5
AS Gabes (2 - 2)2
L
06.03.26LP1
AS Gabes0
JS Omrane2
L
01.03.26LP1
CS Sfaxien1
AS Gabes0
L
13.02.26LP1
AS Gabes0
CA Bizertin0
D
07.02.26LP1
Zarzis0
AS Gabes1
W
01.02.26LP1
AS Gabes0
Etoile Sahel0
D
28.01.26LP1
AS Marsa1
AS Gabes0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Tunisia League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.31 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Monastir vs AS Gabes?
Our selection is 1 — Monastir to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 44%.
What is Monastir's current form?
Monastir have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has AS Gabes been performing recently?
AS Gabes have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Monastir lead with 5 wins versus AS Gabes's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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