LOST Tip LOST Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 3-3 Khorfakkan
S

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Home
L W W L W
5W 2D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
3-3
K
Khorfakkan
Away
D W L D L
3W 3D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 29th April 2026
1
Backing Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai to win
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 50%
Draw 30%
Khorfakkan 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 87% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -27% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai to win
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan Competition: UAE League Date: Wednesday, 29th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai to win) Odds: 1.15 Confidence: 60% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
9
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1
Draws
0
Khorfakkan
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Metric
Khorfakkan
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-2-3
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
50%
30%
3.4
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
S0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 4.6%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 7.2%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
S2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
S3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 3.4%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(7.4%) 1-0(7.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Khorfakkan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Overall
5.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.3
Khorfakkan
Overall
3.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.02.26PC
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
Khorfakkan1
20.11.25LEA
Khorfakkan0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai1
23.04.25LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai4
Khorfakkan0
08.12.24LEA
Khorfakkan1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai1
01.03.24LEA
Khorfakkan0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
27.08.23LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai2
Khorfakkan1
17.03.23LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
Khorfakkan1
22.10.22LEA
Khorfakkan0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai1
26.05.22LEA
Khorfakkan1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai2
11.01.22LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
Khorfakkan1
Recent Form
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
21.04.26CL
Machida1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai0
L
18.04.26CL
Buriram2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (2 - 2)3
W
14.04.26CL
Tractor0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
W
10.04.26LEA
Al Ain3
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai2
L
04.04.26LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai2
Al Jazira1
W
21.03.26PC
Al Jazira1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai0
L
16.03.26LEA
Dibba Al Fujairah0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai4
W
11.03.26LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai5
Ittihad Kalba1
W
07.03.26LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai1
Al Wahda1
D
25.02.26LEA
Al Wasl1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai1
D
Khorfakkan
11.04.26LEA
Khorfakkan1
Al Bataeh1
D
05.04.26LEA
Khorfakkan2
Bani Yas1
W
16.03.26LEA
Al Jazira3
Khorfakkan1
L
11.03.26LEA
Khorfakkan0
Dibba Al Fujairah0
D
27.02.26LEA
Khorfakkan2
Al Ain3
L
22.02.26LEA
Al Nasr2
Khorfakkan2
D
14.02.26LEA
Khorfakkan2
Ajman5
L
06.02.26LEA
Al Dhafra2
Khorfakkan3
W
01.02.26PC
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
Khorfakkan1
L
28.01.26LEA
Al Wasl0
Khorfakkan1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming UAE League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.15 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan?
Our selection is 1 — Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai to win, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai's current form?
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Khorfakkan been performing recently?
Khorfakkan have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai lead with 9 wins versus Khorfakkan's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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