LOST Tip LOST Naestved 1-2 Hellerup
N

Naestved

Home
L W L D L
3W 4D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
1-2
H
Hellerup
Away
L L L L L
1W 0D 9L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 13th May 2026
1
Backing Naestved to win
Naestved 50%
Draw 30%
Hellerup 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 73.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -32.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Naestved to win
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Naestved vs Hellerup Competition: Denmark 2 Division Date: Wednesday, 13th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Naestved to win) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 41% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Naestved
2
Draws
4
Hellerup
10
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Naestved won 4 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Naestved
Metric
Hellerup
0.9
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.3
Goals Against / Game
2.9
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
3-4-3
W — D — L
1-0-9
Win Rate
30%
10%
3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
N0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
N1
1-0 9.9%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 5.5%
1-3 1.9%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
N2
2-0 9.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
N3
3-0 6.0%
3-1 6.3%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
N4
4-0 2.8%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(9.9%) 2-1(9.9%) 2-0(9.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Naestved Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Hellerup Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Naestved
Overall
4.2
Scoring
3.0
Defence
5.7
Hellerup
Overall
1.0
Scoring
2.7
Defence
0.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 20%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.05.262D
Hellerup1
Naestved2
06.04.262D
Naestved2
Hellerup1
08.08.252D
Hellerup2
Naestved1
28.02.25CF
Hellerup3
Naestved0
25.10.242D
Hellerup1
Naestved0
25.08.242D
Naestved0
Hellerup3
29.05.222D
Naestved2
Hellerup2
18.04.222D
Hellerup1
Naestved2
20.03.222D
Naestved4
Hellerup3
21.08.212D
Hellerup2
Naestved2
Recent Form
Naestved
09.05.262D
Naestved1
Vendsyssel3
L
01.05.262D
Hellerup1
Naestved2
W
24.04.262D
AB Copenhagen3
Naestved0
L
17.04.262D
Naestved0
Roskilde0
D
11.04.262D
Thisted FC2
Naestved0
L
06.04.262D
Naestved2
Hellerup1
W
02.04.262D
Roskilde2
Naestved3
W
29.03.262D
Naestved0
Brabrand0
D
21.03.262D
Skive0
Naestved0
D
15.03.262D
Naestved1
Vendsyssel1
D
Hellerup
08.05.262D
Hellerup1
Roskilde2
L
01.05.262D
Hellerup1
Naestved2
L
26.04.262D
Vendsyssel4
Hellerup1
L
19.04.262D
Thisted FC4
Hellerup0
L
10.04.262D
Hellerup1
AB Copenhagen5
L
06.04.262D
Naestved2
Hellerup1
L
01.04.262D
Hellerup2
Ishoj1
W
27.03.262D
Hellerup0
F. Amager3
L
21.03.262D
VSK Aarhus4
Hellerup1
L
13.03.262D
Hellerup0
Roskilde2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Denmark 2 Division fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.36 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Naestved vs Hellerup?
Our selection is 1 — Naestved to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 41%.
What is Naestved's current form?
Naestved have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hellerup been performing recently?
Hellerup have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Naestved lead with 4 wins versus Hellerup's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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