Moderate Signal 50% Confidence
V

Vasco

Home
W W D W L
5W 3D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
P
Paysandu PA
Away
W W W W W
6W 2D 2L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 13th May 2026
1
Backing Vasco to win
Vasco 50%
Draw 30%
Paysandu PA 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -26.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Vasco to win
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Vasco vs Paysandu PA Competition: Copa Do Brasil Date: Wednesday, 13th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Vasco to win) Odds: 1.30 Confidence: 50% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Vasco
0
Draws
5
Paysandu PA
10
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Neutral Vasco won 5 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Vasco
Metric
Paysandu PA
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.2
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.7
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-3-2
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
50%
60%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
V0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 5.3%
0-3 2.7%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
V1
1-0 7.3%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 8.3%
1-3 4.1%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.5%
V2
2-0 5.7%
2-1 8.5%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
V3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 4.4%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
V4
4-0 1.1%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
V5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.5%) 1-0(7.3%) 2-0(5.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip V=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Vasco Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Paysandu PA Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Vasco
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.3
Paysandu PA
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.3
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.04.26COP
Paysandu PA0
Vasco2
05.10.16SB
Paysandu PA3
Vasco1
18.06.16SB
Vasco0
Paysandu PA2
20.11.05SA
Vasco4
Paysandu PA0
10.08.05SA
Paysandu PA0
Vasco2
07.09.04SA
Vasco0
Paysandu PA1
15.05.04SA
Paysandu PA1
Vasco2
05.11.03SA
Paysandu PA1
Vasco2
12.07.03SA
Vasco0
Paysandu PA2
11.09.02SA
Paysandu PA2
Vasco0
Recent Form
Vasco
11.05.26SA
Vasco1
Athletico-PR0
W
06.05.26COP
A. Italiano1
Vasco2
W
03.05.26SA
Flamengo RJ2
Vasco2
D
30.04.26COP
Vasco3
Olimpia Asuncion0
W
26.04.26SA
Corinthians1
Vasco0
L
22.04.26COP
Paysandu PA0
Vasco2
W
18.04.26SA
Vasco2
Sao Paulo1
W
15.04.26COP
Vasco1
A. Italiano2
L
11.04.26SA
Remo1
Vasco1
D
07.04.26COP
Barracas Central0
Vasco0
D
Paysandu PA
09.05.26SC
Paysandu PA2
Anapolis1
W
06.05.26COP
Aguia De Maraba1
Paysandu PA5
W
03.05.26SC
Paysandu PA4
Botafogo PB2
W
29.04.26COP
Trem0
Paysandu PA3
W
25.04.26SC
Itabaiana1
Paysandu PA4
W
22.04.26COP
Paysandu PA0
Vasco2
L
18.04.26SC
Paysandu PA1
Barra FC1
D
15.04.26COP
Paysandu PA2
Independencia1
W
12.04.26SC
Paysandu PA1
Brusque1
D
10.04.26COP
Nacional-AM7
Paysandu PA0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Copa Do Brasil fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.30 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Vasco vs Paysandu PA?
Our selection is 1 — Vasco to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Vasco's current form?
Vasco have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Paysandu PA been performing recently?
Paysandu PA have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Vasco lead with 5 wins versus Paysandu PA's 5, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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