WON Tip WON Netherlands W 3-1 Poland W
N

Netherlands W

Home
L D W W D
5W 3D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
3-1
P
Poland W
Away
L L L L D
4W 2D 4L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 9th June 2026
1
Backing Netherlands W to win
Netherlands W 60%
Draw 20%
Poland W 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 87.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -39.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Netherlands W to win
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Netherlands W vs Poland W Competition: Euro WCQ Women Date: Tuesday, 9th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Netherlands W to win) Odds: 1.14 Confidence: 48% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Netherlands W
2
Draws
1
Poland W
4
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Netherlands W won 1 of the last 4 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Netherlands W
Metric
Poland W
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-3-2
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
50%
40%
3.3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
N0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 4.4%
0-3 2.3%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
N1
1-0 6.5%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 7.8%
1-3 4.0%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.5%
N2
2-0 5.7%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 3.5%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.4%
N3
3-0 3.3%
3-1 5.1%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
N4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
N5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.8%) 1-0(6.5%) 2-0(5.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Netherlands W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Poland W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Netherlands W
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.3
Poland W
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.03.26WC
Poland W2
Netherlands2
24.10.25FI
Poland W0
Netherlands0
11.04.23FI
Netherlands W4
Poland1
04.03.19ALG
Netherlands W0
Poland1
Recent Form
Netherlands W
05.06.26WC
Ireland W3
Netherlands W2
L
18.04.26WC
France W1
Netherlands W1
D
14.04.26WC
Netherlands W2
France W1
W
07.03.26WC
Netherlands W2
Ireland W1
W
03.03.26WC
Poland W2
Netherlands W2
D
02.12.25FI
Netherlands W5
South Korea W0
W
28.11.25FI
Portugal W1
Netherlands W2
W
28.10.25FI
Netherlands W1
Canada W0
W
24.10.25FI
Poland W0
Netherlands W0
D
13.07.25EUR
Netherlands W2
France W5
L
Poland W
05.06.26WC
Poland W0
France W2
L
18.04.26WC
Ireland W1
Poland W0
L
14.04.26WC
Poland W2
Ireland W3
L
07.03.26WC
France W4
Poland W1
L
03.03.26WC
Poland W2
Netherlands W2
D
02.12.25FI
Poland W3
Latvia W0
W
28.11.25FI
Poland W1
Slovenia W0
W
28.10.25FI
Wales W2
Poland W5
W
24.10.25FI
Poland W0
Netherlands W0
D
12.07.25EUR
Poland W3
Denmark W2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 9th June 2026, Netherlands W host Poland W in Euro WCQ Women. We recommend Netherlands W to win as the standout selection.

Netherlands W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Poland W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Netherlands W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Poland W's 1, with 2 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: netherlands w to win at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Euro WCQ Women fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.14 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Netherlands W vs Poland W?
Our selection is 1 — Netherlands W to win, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 48%.
What is Netherlands W's current form?
Netherlands W have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Poland W been performing recently?
Poland W have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Netherlands W lead with 1 wins versus Poland W's 1, with 2 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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