WON Tip WON Palmeiras 4-1 Junior
P

Palmeiras

Home
W L D W D
5W 4D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
4-1
J
Junior
Away
W W D D W
5W 3D 2L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 28th May 2026
1
Backing Palmeiras to win
Palmeiras 50%
Draw 30%
Junior 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 79.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -21.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Palmeiras to win
1.26
Under 2.5 Goals70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Palmeiras vs Junior Competition: Copa Libertadores Date: Thursday, 28th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Palmeiras to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 58% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Palmeiras
1
Draws
0
Junior
5
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Palmeiras won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Palmeiras
Metric
Junior
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-4-1
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
50%
50%
2.5
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
P0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 4.5%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
P1
1-0 11.9%
1-1 12.5%
1-2 6.6%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
P2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 4.8%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
P3
3-0 4.2%
3-1 4.4%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
P4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.9%) 2-1(9.1%) 2-0(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   J=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Palmeiras Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Junior Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Palmeiras
Overall
6.2
Scoring
5.7
Defence
8.0
Junior
Overall
5.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 11%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.04.26COP
Junior1
Palmeiras1
11.04.19COP
Palmeiras3
Junior0
07.03.19COP
Junior0
Palmeiras2
17.05.18COP
Palmeiras3
Junior1
02.03.18COP
Junior0
Palmeiras3
Recent Form
Palmeiras
24.05.26SA
Flamengo RJ0
Palmeiras3
W
21.05.26COP
Palmeiras0
Cerro Porteno1
L
17.05.26SA
Palmeiras1
Cruzeiro1
D
14.05.26COP
Jacuipense1
Palmeiras4
W
10.05.26SA
Remo1
Palmeiras1
D
05.05.26COP
Sporting Cristal0
Palmeiras2
W
02.05.26SA
Palmeiras1
Santos1
D
30.04.26COP
Cerro Porteno1
Palmeiras1
D
26.04.26SA
Bragantino0
Palmeiras1
W
23.04.26COP
Palmeiras3
Jacuipense0
W
Junior
24.05.26PA
Junior1
Santa Fe0
W
21.05.26COP
Junior3
Sporting Cristal2
W
17.05.26PA
Santa Fe1
Junior1
D
14.05.26PA
Junior2
Once Caldas2
D
11.05.26PA
Once Caldas0
Junior1
W
08.05.26COP
Junior0
Cerro Porteno1
L
03.05.26PA
Junior4
Dep. Pasto3
W
29.04.26COP
Sporting Cristal2
Junior0
L
24.04.26PA
Cucuta1
Junior1
D
20.04.26PA
Junior2
Llaneros0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 28th May 2026, Palmeiras host Junior in Copa Libertadores. We recommend Palmeiras to win as the standout selection.

Palmeiras arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Junior are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 3D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Palmeiras, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Junior's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: palmeiras to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Copa Libertadores fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.26 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Palmeiras vs Junior?
Our selection is 1 — Palmeiras to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Palmeiras's current form?
Palmeiras have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Junior been performing recently?
Junior have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Palmeiras lead with 4 wins versus Junior's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 24predictiontoday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.