LOST Tip LOST Torpedo Kutaisi 1-2 Gagra
T

Torpedo Kutaisi

Home
W W W D D
5W 5D 0L → Steady
VS
1-2
G
Gagra
Away
W L D L L
2W 4D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 28th May 2026
1
Backing Torpedo Kutaisi to win
Torpedo Kutaisi 50%
Draw 30%
Gagra 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 68.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -8.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Torpedo Kutaisi to win
1.46
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra Competition: Georgia Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Date: Thursday, 28th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Torpedo Kutaisi to win) Odds: 1.46 Confidence: 60% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
9
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
Draws
0
Gagra
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Torpedo Kutaisi won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Torpedo Kutaisi
Metric
Gagra
2.1
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.3
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-5-0
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
T0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 6.6%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
T1
1-0 13.3%
1-1 11.3%
1-2 4.8%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
T2
2-0 11.3%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
T3
3-0 6.4%
3-1 5.4%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
T4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.3%) 2-0(11.3%) 2-1(9.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Torpedo Kutaisi Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Gagra Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Torpedo Kutaisi
Overall
6.5
Scoring
7.0
Defence
7.3
Gagra
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.0
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.04.26EL1
Gagra2
Torpedo Kutaisi2
17.10.25EL1
Gagra0
Torpedo Kutaisi2
03.08.25EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Gagra1
24.04.25EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Gagra1
01.03.25EL1
Gagra1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
27.11.24EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Gagra0
22.09.24EL1
Gagra0
Torpedo Kutaisi3
24.05.24EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Gagra1
07.04.24EL1
Gagra0
Torpedo Kutaisi1
29.10.23EL1
Gagra1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Recent Form
Torpedo Kutaisi
24.05.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Torpedo Kutaisi1
W
20.05.26EL1
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
Torpedo Kutaisi4
W
15.05.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Dila Gori1
W
10.05.26EL1
Iberia 19991
Torpedo Kutaisi1
D
05.05.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi1
Rustavi1
D
01.05.26EL1
Spaeri1
Torpedo Kutaisi1
D
27.04.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi0
Torpedo Kutaisi3
W
21.04.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi6
Samgurali1
W
17.04.26EL1
Gagra2
Torpedo Kutaisi2
D
07.04.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Dinamo Tbilisi0
D
Gagra
24.05.26EL1
Gagra2
Dila Gori0
W
20.05.26EL1
Iberia 19991
Gagra0
L
16.05.26EL1
Gagra1
Rustavi1
D
11.05.26EL1
Spaeri3
Gagra0
L
06.05.26EL1
Gagra1
Dinamo Batumi2
L
02.05.26EL1
Samgurali2
Gagra0
L
27.04.26EL1
Gagra1
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
D
21.04.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Gagra1
W
17.04.26EL1
Gagra2
Torpedo Kutaisi2
D
07.04.26EL1
Dila Gori1
Gagra1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 28th May 2026, Torpedo Kutaisi host Gagra in Georgia Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. We recommend Torpedo Kutaisi to win as the standout selection.

Torpedo Kutaisi arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Gagra are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Torpedo Kutaisi, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Gagra's 0, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: torpedo kutaisi to win at odds of 1.46 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Georgia Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.46 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?
Our selection is 1 — Torpedo Kutaisi to win, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Torpedo Kutaisi's current form?
Torpedo Kutaisi have won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gagra been performing recently?
Gagra have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Torpedo Kutaisi lead with 9 wins versus Gagra's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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