Strong Signal 73% Confidence
P

Puskas Academy

Home
W L W L D
5W 2D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
4:30 pm
Pancho Arena (Felcsút)
P
Paks
Away
D L D W L
3W 3D 4L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 16th August 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 71.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +1.1% Value detected
Kelly % 3.8% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Puskas Academy vs Paks Competition: Hungary NB 1 Date: Sunday, 16th August 2026 KO: 4:30 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 73% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Puskas Academy
1
Draws
6
Paks
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Puskas Academy
Metric
Paks
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.4
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.6
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-2-3
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
50%
30%
3.8
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
P0
0-0 2.4%
0-1 4.1%
0-2 3.6%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
P1
1-0 4.7%
1-1 8.2%
1-2 7.2%
1-3 4.2%
1-4 1.8%
1-5 0.6%
P2
2-0 4.7%
2-1 8.2%
2-2 7.2%
2-3 4.2%
2-4 1.8%
2-5 0.6%
P3
3-0 3.1%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 2.8%
3-4 1.2%
3-5 0.4%
P4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.2%
P5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-1(8.2%) 2-1(8.2%) 1-2(7.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Puskas Academy
Overall
5.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.3
Paks
Overall
3.9
Scoring
8.0
Defence
1.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.04.26NBI
Paks1
Puskas Academy0
24.01.26NBI
Puskas Academy1
Paks2
27.09.25NBI
Paks3
Puskas Academy2
19.04.25NBI
Paks2
Puskas Academy2
14.12.24NBI
Puskas Academy3
Paks1
01.09.24NBI
Paks2
Puskas Academy1
20.04.24NBI
Puskas Academy5
Paks0
04.02.24NBI
Paks2
Puskas Academy1
23.09.23NBI
Puskas Academy0
Paks2
19.05.23NBI
Paks0
Puskas Academy2
Recent Form
Puskas Academy
07.08.26NBI
MTK Budapest2
Puskas Academy3
W
31.07.26NBI
Puskas Academy0
Kisvarda2
L
26.07.26NBI
Debrecen0
Puskas Academy2
W
16.07.26CF
Puskas Academy0
Basaksehir2
L
11.07.26CF
Puskas Academy1
BW Linz1
D
04.07.26CF
Puskas Academy1
Slovan Bratislava0
W
15.05.26NBI
Puskas Academy2
MTK Budapest2
D
01.05.26NBI
Zalaegerszegi1
Puskas Academy3
W
25.04.26NBI
Puskas Academy2
Ujpest0
W
19.04.26NBI
Paks1
Puskas Academy0
L
Paks
09.08.26NBI
Paks2
Honved2
D
03.08.26NBI
Zalaegerszegi5
Paks2
L
30.07.26UECL
Panathinaikos2
Paks2
D
26.07.26NBI
Paks4
Ferencvaros2
W
23.07.26UECL
Paks1
Panathinaikos2
L
17.07.26CF
Austria Vienna4
Paks1
L
16.07.26CF
Paks5
Slaven Belupo3
W
14.07.26CF
Hap. Ramat Gan0
Paks4
W
11.07.26CF
Paks0
Kozarmisleny SE3
L
08.07.26CF
Maccabi Haifa3
Paks3
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Hungary NB 1 match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Pancho Arena (Felcsút). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward Over 2.5 at @1.39, which our model rates near 80%. The fixture starts at 4:30 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Puskas Academy vs Paks?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Puskas Academy's current form?
Puskas Academy have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Paks been performing recently?
Paks have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Puskas Academy lead with 3 wins versus Paks's 6, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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